It’s time to uncover the best bets on this week’s NFL slate for Week 11! Last week, we went 3-2 but hit on the Vikings upsetting the Bills, so it was a solid week. Let’s see if we can go perfect this week. Here are five great bets for this week’s NFL action. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday morning.
Eagles at Colts: Eagles -6.5 (-115)
The Eagles were the NFL’s last remaining undefeated team before getting upset by the Washington Commanders on Monday Night Football this past week. Immediately after, Eagles general manager Howie Roseman went out and signed two veteran defensive tackles. It is clear that Philadelphia is looking to get back on track right away.
The Colts provide a great opportunity for a “get-right game.” Don’t let last week’s win over the Raiders fool you, this team is a dumpster fire. Expect them to get smoked by the Eagles this week.
Bears at Falcons: Bears Moneyline (+135)
This a matchup of two teams that are both on losing streaks, but appear to be headed in different directions. The Bears have lost their last three games, but have been inching closer to the win column. What has helped is that their offense seems to have turned a corner.
Meanwhile, the Falcons have dropped their last two, but it really looks like the wheels are starting to come off. The college-style offense led by Marcus Mariota that once propelled them to the top of the NFC South has begun to sputter.
The Bears are good enough in the secondary to play man coverage against Atlanta and load the box to stop the run. This could be a signature win for Justin Fields as he looks to cement himself as the Bears’ quarterback of the future.
Jets at Patriots: UNDER 38 (-115)
This is the perfect matchup to bet the under. We’ve got two great defensive coaches in Bill Belichick and Robert Saleh, and they are both going up against inexperienced quarterbacks who are prone to mistakes. When these teams met a few weeks ago, there were a combined four interceptions thrown in a 22-17 slugfest.
In their most recent games, the Jets played the Bills to a total of 37 points, and the Pats played the Colts to a total of 29. These teams just don’t score that much. Both would rather grind it out on the ground than risk their quarterbacks turning it over. Expect this to be something like a 17-16 game. Hammer the under.
Raiders at Broncos: Raiders Moneyline (+125)
Given how bad the Raiders have looked lately, this is probably the worst of our best bets for Week 11 in the NFL. Hear me out though: two or three weeks ago, Las Vegas would have been favored to win this game. People forget, they were favorites in all three games of this current losing streak. Now, they find themselves as underdogs. Every time we flame a team in this league, they come out and prove us wrong.
Also, what on Earth have the Broncos done to be favorited to beat anyone? They beat a bad Jaguars team in a crappy London game. That’s about it. Both of these teams are bad and this game is a toss-up. Denver (-3) is only getting a field goal in this one because they are at home.
Funny enough, that might work in Vegas’ favor with Josh Jacobs on the ground and Daniel Carlson in the kicking game. Take the value (+125) in what should be a coin-flip.
Chiefs at Chargers: OVER 52 (-115)
Who doesn’t love a shootout on Sunday Night Football to close out our look at the best bets in the NFL for Week 11? Primetime game, divisional rivalry, two of the league’s premier quarterbacks, and shoddy defenses, why is over/under set so low?
There are a few reasons. Both teams have a ton of injuries at wide receiver, both defenses have played slightly better as of late, and Justin Herbert is just not himself right now. Nevertheless, the oddsmakers are overreacting a bit here.
It is important to note that Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Gerald Everett were all full participants in Friday’s practice. At least one or two of them should play this week. On the other side, the Chiefs will be without JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman, but Marquez Valdes-Scantling is good to go. As we all know by now, it doesn’t really matter who the Chiefs have at wide receiver as long as they have Patrick Mahomes (and Travis Kelce).
Expect this game to be a race to 30. I’m thinking it will be something like a 31-27 game. Take the over.