College football’s rivalry week is finally here! Despite a tough go of it last week, we are still 9-6 for the month of November, so we’ve got a chance here to finish it out above 60% over four weeks. Since we have two days worth of games this weekend, we have three bonus great bets for this today’s college football Week 13 matchups, with picks for Saturday’s games coming soon. All lines come via Draft Kings as of this morning.
Arkansas at Missouri: Missouri Moneyline (+145)
I love this upset as one of the best bets in college football for Week 13. Mizzou honestly shocked me last week when they covered 29 against New Mexico State. The Tigers are now in a situation where a win would make them bowl eligible. They have a great opportunity to do so against a suspect Arkansas team.
The Razorbacks just clinched bowl eligibility last week with a huge upset over Ole Miss. They are primed for a big letdown game. You have a hungry team at home hosting a squad that is likely hungover from the previous week. Hammer Mizzou this week.
Nebraska at Iowa: UNDER 38.5 (-110)
In the month of November, neither of these teams has played a game with a total of more than 37 points. This is just plain and simple. These are two teams that don’t score much. Even in a rivalry game, I don’t expect a lot of fireworks. Don’t overthink this, just bet on two low-scoring teams to not score much.
#18 UCLA at California: UCLA -11 (110)
After a tough loss to USC last week, and an even tougher loss to Arizona the week before, the Bruins are in desperate need of a “get right” game. Playing an in-state rival who is having a pretty terrible year should fit the bill. UCLA needs to show everyone that they are actually good before bowl selection. Beating up on Cal would be a good way to do that.
Something to remember here is that UCLA coach Chip Kelly has a propensity for running up the score. Most of their wins this season have been by double digits. Cal’s Super Bowl was beating Stanford last week. Expect the Golden Bears to get stomped into the off-season.