The weekend is finally here, which means it is time to place your NFL bets! Last week, mistakes were made. Never bet on Brandon Staley. We went 1-2 for fourth week in a row, bringing us to 7-10-1 on the season for the NFL portion of our Best Bets series. In terms of units, it wasn’t great either. We dropped 1.08 for the weekend, which puts us down 0.82 units on the year.
Hopefully we can get back on track this week. We have some great divisional matchups to pick. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Friday evening. Also, be sure to catch my and my fellow ATB bettors’ locks and underdogs of the week on Around The Book. Let’s get started and dive into the best NFL bets for Week 7!
Bills at Patriots: Under 40 (-110)
You know we love a good under bet here. The Patriots have been playing low-scoring games all year. Surprisingly, so have the Bills. The under is a combined 9-3 in games played by these teams this year.
That trend should continue this week. New England looks worse and worse by the week. However, their defense could keep Buffalo in check. It doesn’t hurt that the Bills won’t need to open up the playbook much to win this one.
Expect the Patriots to hang around in a game that looks a lot closer than it really is. Buffalo should win this game 20-13, or something like that. Even if they win handily, that would likely mean that the Patriots score even less. Even a 31-3 blow out would hit the under comfortably. This is a safe pick.
Commanders at Giants: Giants ML (+124)
It seems counterintuitive to bet on the Giants, but there is a method to the madness. As poorly as they’ve played, the fact that they played Buffalo so close, is reason to believe they are due to get back in the win column.
If the defense can keep playing well, the offense should be able to get back on track against a Washington team that is giving up almost 30 points per game. The Commanders have not been spectacular this year by any stretch. You could argue that the best team they have beaten all season is a struggling Atlanta team, who they beat last week. The week prior, they got pummeled by the floundering Bears.
The Commanders should not be favorited against anyone. That is especially true in a divisional game. If the Giants are ever going to get back on track, this is the week to do it. At +164, they are worth throwing a few bucks on.
Cardinals at Seahawks: Cardinals ML (+310)
Speaking of divisional games, this another great opportunity to take advantage of rivalry chaos. The Cardinals have already pulled off one big upset this year, beating Seattle seems very feasible by comparison.
The Seahawks’ 3-2 record looks a lot less impressive when you consider that the Lions are the best team they have played all year. Other than Detroit, Seattle has mostly played the dregs of the league.
The Cardinals would fall into that category, but they have shown signs of life whilst playing a very tough schedule. They are certainly capable of knocking off a slightly-above-average divisional opponent. At +310, you can’t pass that up.
Week 7 NFL Best Bets Recap
- Bills @ Patriots: Under 40 (-108)
- Giants ML (+124)
- Cardinals ML (+310)
- Parlay odds: +1653