This best bets train just keeps on rolling as wee head into Week 11! Last week, we were just two points shy of Texas covering and securing a 3-0 Saturday. Regardless, 2-1 was good enough to propel us to 16-14 on the season. We also made another 2.04 units, which puts us up 5.82 on the year!
Here’s hoping we can hang onto this momentum to finish out the year. We’ve got three more great picks this week. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Thursday evening. Also, be sure to catch my, and my fellow ATB bettors’, locks and underdogs of the week on Around the Book.
Let’s get into the best bets for Week 11 of the college football season!
Best College Football Bets for Week 11
Indiana at Illinois: Indiana ML (+200)
Let’s kick things off with some ugly Big Ten football. This matchup pits two of the conference’s basement-dwellers against one another. However, both teams are trending in different directions.
There was never much hope for Indiana this season, as they will always be at a disadvantage to their fellow members of the Big 10 East. Nevertheless, the Hoosiers have been playing well as of late. They nearly upset #10 Penn State a couple weeks ago.
Meanwhile, this year has been a disappointment for an Illinois team that once looked poised to contend for the Big 10 West crown. After dropping two of their last four games, the Illini will be lucky to get a bowl invitation.
Don’t expect this game to help their cause. Indiana should demonstrate just how lop-sided the Big 10’s divisions have been as we enter the last few weeks of their existence. Indiana provides excellent value this week at +200.
Rutgers at Iowa: Rutgers ML (-105)
Speaking of those lop-sided divisions, here is an even better example. Iowa is currently the front-runner to win the Big 10 West, and they are just a one point favorite at home against Rutgers, who is fourth in the East. Honestly, that line is still a bit generous.
Rutgers has looked great this year. They hung with both Ohio State and Michigan into the second half. The Scarlet Knights have only dropped one other game this year. They now get an Iowa team that has been sputtering down the stretch. The Hawkeyes have gone 1-1 the last two weeks in nail-biters against Minnesota and Northwestern. They were held to just 10 points in both of those games.
Rutgers is probably better defensively than either of those teams. While they may not have a ton of offensive firepower, they should be able score at least two touchdowns. That should be more than enough to come away with the win.
USC at Oregon: Over 75.5 (-112)
While 75 points may seem like an absurd total, it still may not be enough. Vegas would have been better off just setting the total at “sh*tload.” Numbers just can’t do it justice.
For perspective, USC’s last two games have both gone over 90 points. The total has eclipsed 80 in six of their 10 contests. The Trojans sport a combo of the best offensive player in college football in Caleb Williams, and one of the worst defenses in the country. That is a recipe for high-scoring games.
While Oregon hasn’t had nearly as many barn-burners this year, the Ducks can still put up points in bunches. They have the nation’s highest-scoring offense at 47.7 points per game. While they also sport a top-15 scoring defense, that might not matter much this week.
USC will be hard pressed to keep Bo Nix and the Ducks under 50 this week. As good as Oregon’s defense is, they will struggle to keep Williams and the Trojan offense under 30. Hammer this ridiculous over.
Week 11 College Football Best Bets Recap
- Indiana ML (+200)
- Rutgers ML (-105)
- USC @ Oregon: OVER 75.5 (-112)
- Parlay odds: +1008