Time for even more NFL picks! We had a pretty solid Thanksgiving, going 2-1 on the day. We are now 11-7 for the month of November. Here are five of the best bets for this Sunday’s Week 12 NFL action. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday morning.
Falcons at Commanders: Commanders -4 (-110)
All aboard the Taylor Heinicke hype train! Look, he may not be the answer long-term, but he is exactly what Washington needs right now. They have a good defense, they run the ball well, and they have big-time playmakers at wide receiver. They just need a quarterback to not screw it all up. In that respect, Heinickie is an upgrade over Carson Wentz.
Meanwhile, the Falcons are still somehow managing to hang around in playoff contention. Quarterback Marcus Mariota continues to do just enough to keep his job. I think this is where things finally come to a head for Atlanta.
This game with Washington is a matchup of two teams chasing the last Wild Card spot in the NFC. It is one of those games that separates the contenders from the pretenders. I like Washington enough in this one to lay the four points.
Bears at Jets: UNDER 39 (-110)
Given the most recent injury report, we might be seeing Trevor Siemian versus Mike White. Even if Fields plays and White truly is an upgrade over Zach Wilson, I still like the under in this one.
The Jets have only played three games all season that have reached a total of 40 points or more. This doesn’t seem like a matchup that will buck that trend. The Bears offense will have a fair amount of trouble scoring on a stout Jets defense. On the other side, don’t forget that White has more interceptions than passing touchdowns for his career.
Chargers at Cardinals: Cardinals Moneyline (+125)
Here we have another matchup of teams that might be good, but still have a lot to prove. The Cardinals are getting Kyler Murray back this week and the Chargers look about as healthy as they’ve been in quite some time. We should get a real good look at where both teams are as we head into the stretch-run of the season.
In reality, this game is pretty much a coin-toss. However, there are three reasons to pick Arizona. First, they’ve got home-field advantage. Second, the Chargers have a real knack for finding ways to lose games. Finally the Cardinals offer solid value at +125.
Rams at Chiefs: Rams +15.5 (-110)
Given what we have seen over the past month or so, it’s understandable if you want to avoid the Rams. That being said, this is the NFL, and it is hard to cover 15.5 points against anyone. While they haven’t been good lately, the Rams are still the defending Super Bowl champs. This spread feels awfully disrespectful.
It’s worth noting that the Chiefs have only won three games all season by more than 15 points. They aren’t exactly blowing the doors off teams this year. Honestly, at +800, taking the Rams straight up is tempting. We’ll play it safe though and just take the points.
Packers at Eagles: Packers Moneyline (+250)
I might be going out on a limb here, but just bear with me. Doesn’t this game have all the makings of a potential upset? These primetime games can be full of surprises. They can also be the games where one player can just take over.
Speaking of which, the Packers have this guy by the name of Aaron Rodgers. You may have heard of him before. He is pretty good. It helps that he is starting to build a rapport with wide receiver Christian Watson.
A game like this under the bright lights is the perfect opportunity for Rodgers to remind folks that he is still a baaad man. It also doesn’t hurt that the Eagles are currently coming to grips with their own mortality. There is enough value here at +250 to make this upset worth chasing to close out our best bets in the NFL for Week 12.