Best College Football Bets for Week 12

We are back to bet another great week of college football and to uncover the best bets on the slate! We only went 3-2 last week, but it was a better week than the record would have you think. We hit on both upsets with TCU and North Carolina, plus we successfully bet against Alabama for the second time this year.

In the two losses, we missed the over in Iowa-Wisconsin game by two points because the Badgers got shut out in the second half, and LSU was a point shy away from covering. We’re drawing ever closer to a perfect week, let’s see if we can get it this time. Here are five of the best college football bets for this Saturday. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Friday morning.

Penn State kicks off this week's look at the best bets in college football
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#11 Penn State at Rutgers: Penn State -19 (-120)

The value on this isn’t the greatest, especially given the double-digit spread on the road. That being said, it is pretty much a lock. First, Piscataway is Penn State’s back yard. This is actually a big recruiting game for the Nittany Lions.

What really matters though, is their defense. In their last two games, they have held Indiana and Maryland to a combined 14 points. Those are very similar caliber opponents to the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers will be lucky to get above 10 points.

On the other side of the, Penn State has been running it up lately. They have been trying to get far enough ahead to get freshman quarterback Drew Allar as much playing time as possible. When Allar does get in, they keep running the offense to get him reps. There is no way Penn State gets held under 30 in this one. I like the Nittany Lions to cover on the road.

Illinois at #3 Michigan: Illinois +18 (-110)

Staying in the Big Ten, I don’t like Michigan to cover a similar spread against Illinois. The Fighting Illini are very stout defensively. They have not allowed more 31 points all season. In fact, outside two in which they gave up 23, they haven’t allowed more than 14 in any of their other contests. The Wolverines will certainly be their biggest test. However, Michigan hasn’t put up super gaudy numbers in the Big Ten — and Illinois will be one of the tougher defenses that they have faced.

Another important thing to remember is that Michigan has “The Game” coming up next week. It isn’t hard to imagine them looking past Illinois. Meanwhile, the Illini need this win desperately to keep pace in the Big Ten West. They won’t pull off the upset, but it will be close enough to cover.

Miami (FLA) at #9 Clemson: Miami +19 (-110)

Clemson hasn’t beaten an ACC opponent by more than 15 since their season opener against Georgia Tech. They simply do not have the offensive firepower to blow teams out. When the offense is humming, it’s doing so on the ground. That tends to shorten the game.

On the other side, Miami has been up-and-down this year. Overall, they are a middle-of-the-pack ACC team. Clemson has not blown out average ACC teams this year. This game will likely appear closer on the scoreboard than it will actually be. Clemson will win comfortably, but by less than 20. Take the points.

#22 Oklahoma State at Oklahoma: OSU Moneyline (+240)

We have to bet Bedlam. That is especially true when the bookies are giving a ranked team seven points against a team fighting for bowl eligibility. I just don’t understand this. I get that OSU is a little banged up, but quarterback Spencer Sanders appears ready to go this week. Yes, the Cowboys haven’t gotten a win in Norman since 2014, but this situation is very different from recent years.

The Sooners have a new head coach this year in Brent Venables. His tenure is off to a horrendous start. Oklahoma entered the year as playoff contender, but now they are 5-5. Oklahoma State has played pretty well this year. They need this one to stay in the hunt for the Big XII title game. Look for the Cowboys to take this rivalry game for the second year in a row, and cash in on some great value.

New Mexico State at Missouri: NMSU +29 (-105)

This is probably one of the most unwatchable games on the docket for this Saturday. These teams are both pretty horrible. That being said, there is money to be made here as one of the best bets on the college football schedule this week.

I’ll keep this one short and sweet. Mizzou is not good enough to be favored by 29 against anyone. Even the Little Sisters of the Poor could stay within 30 of the Tigers. The Aggies are probably a bottom-10 FBS program right now, but this is just too wide of a spread. 30-point covers are for college football’s super teams. The Missouri Tigers are barely a college football team.

Best NFL Bets for Week 10

It is time to bet this week’s NFL slate! We had a decent record last week, but we are still chasing perfection. Here are five great NFL bets for the Week 10 games. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday afternoon.

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Browns at Dolphins: Dolphins -3.5 (-105)

The Browns are coming off a big win over a division rival. Those types of wins tend to be followed by a letdown game. It doesn’t help that they are playing a Dolphins team that is winning lately, but looking to be more dominant. Miami also needs to keep pace in the AFC East with the Bills and Jets. Cleveland, on the other hand, is in danger of almost completely falling out of the playoff hunt.

The Dolphins are just too talented, they’ll win this one by at least four, kicking off our Week 10 NFL bets with a win.

Vikings at Bills: Vikings Moneyline (+220)

It is officially time to stop sleeping on the 7-1 Vikings. They are a very good team. The fact that they are such significant underdogs in this game is kind of shocking. It is even more so when you factor in the in the injury report.

The Bills are pretty banged up defensively, which could be trouble against a team with all the offensive weapons that Minnesota has. They will likely be asking a lot from their offense this week. The problem is that Josh Allen is also not 100 percent. I like the Vikings in this one, and the value is fantastic.

Saints at Steelers: Saints -1 (-110)

This a bad matchup for the Steelers stylistically. The Saints defense is one that masks a lot of coverage and brings a lot of pressure. This usually means trouble for rookie quarterbacks like Kenny Pickett. In a matchup of two bad teams, I think the Saints are just a little bit better at this juncture. It also helps that they only have to cover one point.

Chargers at 49ers: Chargers +7.5 (-110)

This is not a great matchup for the Chargers. San Fransisco’s ball-control offense should be a problem for a team that would like to give Justin Herbert as many opportunities as possible. Nevertheless, Herbert is the reason why I like the Chargers to cover.

Expect the Niners to get out to a significant lead, but Herbert will make enough plays in the fourth quarter to pull within a score.

Commanders at Eagles: UNDER 43.5 (-110)

Carson Wentz is returning to Philly wearing the uniform of a division rival. Expect a raucous crowd at Lincoln Financial Field. Washington’s offense is already not great, but playing a stout Eagles defense in a hostile environment certainly won’t help.

That being said, Washington’s defense should keep Philly from completely running away with it. I would expect something like a 24-13 game. Take the under.

Best College Football Bets For Week 11

We are back at it again for the best bets on the Week 11 college football schedule. We almost went perfect last week, but got burned on the over in the Tennessee-Georgia game. Still picked Notre Dame over Clemson though! Here are five great college football bets for this Saturday’s games. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Friday morning.

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#7 LSU at Arkansas: LSU -3.5 (-110)

LSU is a roll right now. They have won three straight against impressive competition. Alabama and Ole Miss were both top ten teams at the time, and Florida isn’t too shabby, either. Also worth noting, two of those three wins were by double digits.

Meanwhile, Arkansas just lost to Liberty. The Razorbacks are also 1-3 against ranked opponents this year. That lone victory came in the season opener against Tennessee. They just don’t look like they have the talent to compete with the top teams in the country right now.

With where the spread is, it’s clear what the bookies are thinking. They are factoring in the potential for an LSU letdown after that massive overtime victory over ‘Bama. I don’t see it. This Tigers team looks like it is just getting going. Jayden Daniels looks like he is making one of those classic late-season pushes for the Heisman.

LSU should take this one by at least a touchdown, and we should kick off our college football bets for Week 11 with a win.

#9 Alabama at #11 Ole Miss: Ole Miss +11.5 (-110)

I am violating a rule of mine here. Alabama is one of those teams that you should typically never bet against. However, this is not your typical Crimson Tide team. They are not nearly as dominant as they have been, especially on the road. In those games, they are 2-2 straight up and 1-3 against the spread. That one cover was against Arkansas and they were only spotting them 17.

The Rebels are quietly having a great season. One could argue they have had an easy schedule, but you can only beat the teams in front of you. They have beaten everyone but LSU. On paper, there is a significant gap between them and ‘Bama. That doesn’t factor in the current state of affairs though.

The Tide are reeling right now, as they are likely eliminated from the playoffs. The Rebels, however, still have everything to play for. A win this week would keep them in the CFP mix. That isn’t to say Ole Miss will win this one, but they should be able to stay within 10.

Wisconsin at Iowa: OVER 35.5 (-110)

We are going to go against conventional logic once again here. You wouldn’t typically bet the over in Big Ten contests, especially not this one. However, 35 is a borderline insulting number to set the over/under at. That means the oddsmakers are expecting something like a 17-16 game.

That would have made sense a few weeks ago, but a things have changed. Both of these teams are playing much better football as of late, especially offensively. In their last three games, the Badgers have scored about 27 points per contest. In that same span, the Hawkeyes have averaged about 22.

These teams aren’t going to exactly light the scoreboard up, but they know how to move the ball. Another thing that should help is that it will likely be a tight game. I would predict something like 20-17, maybe 21-20. Take the over here and capitalize on a head-scratching Week 11 college football bets line.

#4 TCU at #18 Texas: TCU Moneyline (+230)

Anytime a top-five team is an underdog, alarm bells should be going off in your head. This one feels like an overreaction. Do the Horned Frogs look extremely vulnerable? Yes. Are the Longhorns the team to knock them off? Probably not.

I get the concerns about TCU. They play everyone close, and they tend to not wake up until the fourth quarter. The consistency with which they do that is actually comforting. It means that they are less prone to letdowns and trap games. This game doesn’t fit into either of those scary categories, anyway.

For some reason, everyone thinks Texas is somehow back this year. It makes no sense considering they have three losses. Two of those losses coming in a good, but not great, conference, while the other one was a close defeat at home to an Alabama team having a down year.

Texas looks no different from recent years, in that they just look like another Big 12 team. Rest assured, TCU will get beat at some point before the CFP, but it is not happening this week. There is too much value here let Texas deter you.

#15 North Carolina at Wake Forest: UNC Moneyline (+155)

This one makes very little sense. I guess the idea is that two high-octane offenses should make this a toss-up. From there, the bookies probably just went with the home team in Wake Forest. There are several flaws with that logic.

First of all, the Demon Deacons’ offense has slowed down significantly in recent weeks. That, combined with the fact that they are terrible defensively, has led them to drop their last two games. With three conference losses, their season is effectively over. They’re bowl-eligible, but that is meaningless for a team that had ACC title aspirations three months ago.

The Tar Heels, on the other hand, are currently riding a five-game winning streak and look great. Their offense is playing great, and their defense has an actual pulse. Plus, they still have a lot to play for.

A win locks up the ACC Coastal division. The playoff door isn’t totally shut either. If they win out and capture the ACC title, they have a decent shot — depending on how everything else shakes out around the country. Hammer the Tar Heels and take home some money with your Week 11 college football bets.

Best NFL Bets For Week 9

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Time for some more NFL bets! Last week, we were a Packers backdoor cover away from a winning record. Hopefully we can bounce back with this week’s games. We’ll also try to make our own luck with five great NFL bets picks for this Sunday’s Week 9 games. All betting lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday morning.

Dolphins at Bears: Bears +4 (-110)

I know everyone likes the Dolphins right now, but folks need to be careful this team has not looked dominant all season. They have only won one game by more than a touchdown all season. Most of those wins have come by four points or less. The Bears have been playing their best football as of late.

This one is at home in what appears to be another windy day at Soldier Field. Also, people forget that Chicago’s defense is top-five in passing yards allowed. We might not see the same vaunted Miami passing offense that we have for most of this season.

Look for this one to be closer than expected. The Bears moneyline (+165) is worth a look, but we’re going to play it safe and take the points.

Panthers at Bengals: Bengals -7.5 (+100)

We are getting to that point in the season where teams start to settle in and play closer to expectations. The Panthers are not a good football team. They are completely devoid of talent. On the flip side, the Bengals have too much talent to continue to wallow in mediocrity.

The Bengals have won four out of their last six. In those four wins, three have come by double-digits. For that reason, I like Cincinnati to win by eight or more, and I love the value at +100.

Chargers at Falcons: Falcons Moneyline (+130)

I’m not a huge fan of gambling stats, but the fact that the Falcons are 6-2 against the spread this year. Also, they are 3-1 at home this season. Then, you have to factor in that the Chargers have not played great this year, and that they are coming into this game without most of Justin Herbert’s top weapons.

For all of these reasons, I like Atlanta a lot this week. The spread is only three points, so we’re going to take the extra value here and pick them to win outright.

Colts at Patriots: UNDER 40 (-110)

The injury report for this game is a big reason why I like the under here. The Patriots have a ton of injuries on the offensive side of the ball, especially up front. Offensive line injuries are hard to overcome because the league, as a whole, is just generally not very deep at that position. New England only has an average offense when healthy, playing shorthanded against a very good Colts defense is not conducive to scoring a lot of points.

On the other side, Indianapolis didn’t have much of an offense before they thrust a rookie quarterback into the starting lineup, their star running back got hurt, and they traded their third-down back. It is hard to see any way either team breaks 20 this week. Hammer the under.

Raiders at Jaguars: Raiders -2 (-110)

The Raiders got absolutely embarrassed last week in New Orleans. It was the kind of game that has to elicit a visceral response. The Raiders stayed on the East coast this week for the Jacksonville game, so they have had another week to settle into a routine.

The Jags, on the other hand, have to re-acclimate themselves after playing in London last week. Not having the bye after playing overseas is a tough draw. The Raiders are too talented to lose to two bad teams in a row. Take the Raiders to cover. That’s it for the Week 9 NFL bets. Go out there and make some money, and come back next week for the Week 10 piece!

Best College Football Bets for Week 10

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We are officially entering the stretch run for college football. Every game is important now. Last week’s college football bets finished out a rocky October, but it’s a new month, we’ve got a clean slate and five more great bets for this Saturday’s Week 10 college football slate. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Friday morning.

Kentucky at Missouri: Kentucky Moneyline (-105)

Nobody had a worse October than Kentucky. In the span of a month, the Wildcats have gone from a top-ten ranking to being one point dogs to Mizzou while they fight for bowl eligibility. Life comes at you fast. Luckily this Missouri team is wildly mediocre.

Don’t let the two-game winning streak fool you into thinking the Tigers are surging. South Carolina is a total enigma, and Vandy is, well, Vandy. Look for Kentucky to get back on track and for Will Levis to solidify his NFL draft stock. Watch the lines on this carefully because they are a bit wonky.

Kentucky is only getting a point, plus they should win this one outright anyway. Don’t bother with the spread and just take the moneyline.

#4 Clemson at Notre Dame: Notre Dame Moneyline (+150)

I can’t believe I’m doing this. Especially after picking against the Irish last week. The thing is this pick isn’t about them, it’s about Clemson. The Tigers have been eking out wins all season. Half of their games have been decided by one score. When you play with fire that often, you eventually get burned.

Notre Dame is just as good as, if not better than, the likes of Syracuse, Florida State, NC State, and Wake Forest. While the Irish have been inconsistent this year, they have the talent to match up with Clemson. That win over Syracuse last week was probably a big confidence boost, as well. That is what you need going into a big primetime matchup. A paper tiger (no pun intended) Clemson squad playing a talented team with nothing to lose on a cold evening in South Bend could be the perfect recipe for a top-five upset.

The spread (Clemson -3.5) isn’t wide enough to be worth shying away from solid value on the moneyline. This may be one of the tightest, and most surprising, bets we have for Week 10 — if not the rest of the college football season.

James Madison at Louisville: L’Ville -7.5 (-105)

I think folks have become a bit too enamored with JMU. The Dukes have been a funs story as they seamlessly transition from FCS juggernaut to Sun Belt contender. However, the past two weeks have shown that they still have a long way to go. It is hard to see how they can stay within a score against a power-five opponent.

The Cardinals aren’t slouches either. They just hammered a good Wake Forest team by 27. Louisville is coming off three straight ACC victories and is now hosting an FBS infant. So why are they only a one-score favorite? I guess there is the idea that they will sleepwalk through this one before a brutal three-game stretch featuring Clemson, NC State, and Kentucky.

That is a possibility, but at the end of the day, this JMU team is simply not talented enough to contain Malik Cunningham. For that reason, this should be a comfortable cover.

Minnesota at Nebraska: UNDER 45 (-110)

I really like the under in this one for a litany of reasons. For starters, you have heavy favorite in Minnesota, that likes to run the ball. They also play good defense, and lack an explosive passing attack. All that has led more than half their games to come in under 45 total points. Looking deeper, their only win that went over that total came against FCS Western Illinois.

On Nebraska’s side, their already average offense could be hampered by a banged up quarterback. The ‘Huskers have a pretty awful run defense as well, so they should struggle to get off the fie

This game should be fairly straightforward. Minnesota’s inconsistent play is the main reason why I’m apprehensive about the 16-point spread. Even if they don’t cover, we’re still looking at low-scoring affair. Even if junk-time points cause them to only win around 28-14, the under still hits.

#1 Tennessee at #3 Georgia: OVER 66.5 (-115)

We end our look at the top bets for Week 10 with the biggest game in college football this season. Picking who comes out on top in this one feels next to impossible. This Tennessee team feels special. Could this be the year the Vols get back to title contention?

Standing in their way are the defending national champion Georgia Bulldogs. The Dawgs somehow look even more dominant than they did last year — outside of that scare with Mizzou, of course.

One thing is certain: we’re going to see a ton of points in this one. Both teams have explosive offenses, and defenses that haven’t always dominated. I think that 35 points is the minimum for either team to even have a shot at winning. Hammer the over in the biggest game of the week.