Week 7 Preview – Know Thy Enemy: Kansas City Chiefs

Titans vs. Chiefs
Titans vs. Chiefs Credit: TitansWire

It’s Titans vs Chiefs week as the Kansas City Chiefs pays a visit to Nashville to debate which city has the best BBQ + hot chicken recipes and to play a football game in between. The high octane Chiefs offense should have little issue carving up an entirely gracious Titans defense.

Can the struggling Titans passing game keep going score for score with KC? Are the Titans mentally ready after defeating the Bills in an emotional Monday night victory? How much longer can Derrick Henry keep up this immense pace? Who will win this premier match between two AFC contenders in Week 7 of the NFL?

Chiefs Key Numbers + Info (2021 season)

Record: 3-3 (1-1 AFC North)

Points scored: 185

PPG: 30.8

Points allowed: 176

PPGa: 29.3

Avg. yards per rush: 4.9

Average. yards per rush allowed: 5.2

Avg. rush yards per game: 125

Avg. rush yards per game allowed: 133.16

Rushing TDs: 5 for, 9 against

Avg. pass yards per game: 308.5

Avg. pass yards per game allowed: 277.33

Passing TDs: 18 for, 11 against

Pass Completion Rate: 69%

Pass Completion Rate Against: 66%

Leading Rusher: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (65 attempts for 304 yards)

Top Receiver: Tyreek Hill (46 receptions for 592 yards, five touchdowns)

Leading Tackler: Nick Bolton (40 tackles, five tackles for loss)

Key Additions: OT Orlando Brown, OG Trey Smith (rookie), C Creed Humphrey (rookie), RB Darrel Williams, DL Jarran Reed, OL Joe Thuney, TE Blake Bell, OL Austin Blythe, LB Nick Bolton (rookie), OL Mike Remmers, RB Jerick McKinnon, CB Mike Hughes, WR Josh Gordon

Key Losses: OT Mitchell Schwartz, OT Eric Fisher, OL Kyle Long (PUP), RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (IR), OL Martinas Rankin, P Dustin Colquitt, DE Joshua Kaindoh (IR)

Titans vs Chiefs Series History

Kansas City leads the all-time series 30-24

Tennessee Call Out, Ball Out

Team defense 

– Turns out Patrick Mahomes is still a pretty decent player, that guy. Tennessee will need all hands on deck, especially a banged-up secondary to even remotely begin to think about containing the Chefs. The front seven will need to expose a still gelling offensive line if at all possible. Without a team-wide effort, it can get ugly real fast. Suffice to say, a miracle needs to happen. 

Derrick Henry 

– The superstar back will do what he does best to keep the ball away from a potent Chiefs offense. He’s on an unprecedented record-breaking pace for production. Can he hold up for the long and cruel grind that this game is? The Chiefs defense isn’t exactly the 2000 Ravens as of press time. Needless to say, the running back will need to be his level best once again.  

Offensive line. Please do anything

– The Titans will need to rejigger some things as usual as left tackle Taylor Lewan is out due to a concussion suffered on Monday night. Left guard Rodger Saffold is a constant shuffle in and out of the lineup. Ben Jones is seemingly the only good constant on the line.

Yes, the Chiefs defense is what it is but the Tennessee line is banged up and heavily reliant on questionable backups. Ryan Tannehill needs some time to get it going. He’s been one of the most heavily sacked quarterbacks this season. Which group will break first?

Keys to a Chiefs Victory

“Fix” Patrick Mahomes

– Yeah he’s already a legendary figure in the annals of league history but there’s a glaring turnover issue he’s dealing with this season. It needs to be fixed so that inferior teams such as the Titans don’t have a hope of limiting him.

Mahomes is borderline unstoppable when he’s fully on and operating with his full set of weapons. It’s possible that he’s trying to compensate for the lack of defensive cover or he’s experimenting due to the sheer limitless potential of his talent. 

Stop the guy wearing 11 

– The Chiefs’ much-beleaguered secondary will need to stop the Titans’ primary receiving weapon and now Chipotle’s mortal enemy, AJ Brown. After a few weeks of battling injury and ineffectiveness, Brown finally broke out in the second half last week. Stop 11 and a hampered Julio Jones, Kansas City will contain the passing attack. 

Keep on going! 

– The series has been pockmarked with pitched back and forth battles over the years between the two AFC powers. KC has had a better time of it during the past two games though, thoroughly eviscerating the suspect Titans defense every time. Andy Reid is a masterful offensive mind and his protégé Eric Bienemy should’ve been a head coach long ago. Keep the good times rolling! 

Titans vs Chiefs Injury Report

Titans vs Chiefs: What are the odds?

Caesars has the Chiefs as four-point favorites at -110 while the Titans are +110 dogs. The over/under has been set at 57.5. The money line is the Chiefs at -210 and the Titans at +175.

BetMGM has the Chiefs as 4.5 point favorites at -110 while the Titans are +110 dogs. The over/under has been set at 57.5. The money line is the Bills at -200 and the Titans at +175.

Wynnbet has the Chiefs as 4.5 favorites at -115 while the Titans are +105 dogs. The over/under has been set at 57.5. The money line is the Chiefs at -215 and the Titans +175.

Prediction

KANSAS CITY 42

Tennessee Titans 31

Prize Picks

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– As I mentioned before, no sharks or optimizers, or any of the above DFS wizards. It’s just you against the PrizePicks machine. 

Previous KTE Editions

KTE: Jacksonville Jaguars

Know Thy Enemy: Seattle Seahawks

Know Thy Enemy: Indianapolis Colts

KTE: New York Jets

Know Thy Enemy: Buffalo Bills

Week 6 Preview – Know Thy Enemy: Buffalo Bills

Know Thy Enemy: Buffalo Bills
Photo Credit: Donald Page / tennesseetitans.com

The Tennessee Titans host the current class of the AFC on primetime television, a Buffalo Bills team that absolutely dominated the disappointing Chiefs last week. Buffalo will be out to avenge last season’s blowout defeat to the Titans where Josh Norman was eviscerated into nothingness by Derrick Henry. The league’s top-ranked offense and defense currently reside in western New York led by perennial MVP candidate Josh Allen. Can the Titans muster enough Henry to keep their horrifically abysmal and devastatingly dire defense from getting blown out?  

Key Numbers + Info (2021 season)

Record: 4-1 (1-0 AFC East)

Points scored: 172

PPG: 18.5

Points allowed: 115

PPGa: 34.4

Average yards per rush: 4.5

Avg. yards per rush allowed: 3.7

Average rush yards per game: 140.4

Avg. rush yards per game allowed: 78.4

Rushing TDs: for, 1 against

Avg. pass yards per game: 270.0

Avg. pass yards per game allowed: 173.4

Passing TDs: 12 for, against

Pass Completion Rate: 63%

Pass Completion Rate Against: 76%

Top Rusher: Devin Singletary (55 attempts for 284 yards and one touchdown)

Leading Receiver: Stefon Diggs (28 receptions for 374 yards and one touchdown)

Leading Tackler: Tremaine Edmunds (30 tackles, two tackles for loss, two passes defended, and one interception)

Key Additions: EDGE Gregory Rousseau (rookie), EDGE Boogie Basham (rookie), OT Spencer Brown (rookie), OL Ike Boettger, OL Bobby Hart, WR Emmanuel Sanders, LB A.J. Klein, LB Tyler Matakevich, TE Kahale Warring, QB Mitchell Trubisky, RB Matt Breida

Key Losses: WR Marquez Stevenson (IR), TE Bug Howard, EDGE Bryan Cox, Jr, OL Forrest Lamp, OL Jamil Douglas

Series History

Tennessee leads the series against the Buffalo Bills 29-19-0

Tennessee Call Out, Ball Out

Team mentality

The whole footballing world is discounting the Titans’ ability to even stay remotely close to the Buffalo Bills on Monday. Can Tennessee circle the wagons and pull off the upset over notorious #BillsMafia? Both coordinators will need to call the game of their lives for the Titans to have a chance. Can the rest of the team help supplement the ever omnipresent Derrick Henry? Mike Vrabel is known for rallying the troops and pulling off upset. Can he pull a rabbit out of the hat at home? Tennessee must play within themselves and not fall into the hype trying to be something they’re not. 

Ball Control

Ride the King to win the time of possession game. The Titans defense as currently constituted couldn’t stop a minor nosebleed, much less the league’s top offense. A Josh Allen on the sidelines is a Josh Allen that can’t hurt you. Todd Downing is one of the lower tier offensive coordinators so he can’t be lulled into trying to go score for score with the powerful Bills offense. Shorten the game by pounding the ball against a terrifying defense if you can.  

Offensive line = fix it

Ryan Tannehill can’t throw the ball from his back unlike one Patrick Mahomes (probably). The offensive line has been horrendous in pass protection when healthy as it is. As it were, guard Rodger Saffold is dealing with one injury or another at any point during a game. Taylor Lewan fluctuates from indifferent to repulsively abhorrent, battling his way back from an ACL injury last year. Nate Davis has regressed badly. Don’t get me started on the right tackle situation. 

Caleb Farley

Welcome the big leagues, son. Now go cover one of the best receivers in the league in your first start. The former first round selection is likely getting the start due to emerging star corner Kristian Fulton out due to injury. Much will be expected of the former Hokies defensive back. I’m just not sure that he can deliver against Stefon Diggs along with Janoris Jenkins is now a slow rabbit. 

Keys to a Buffalo Bills Victory

Keep on Keeping On

Josh Allen probably is the favorite for the MVP at this point in the season. He’s coming off a team wide destruction of the perennial AFC favorite Chiefs. The Bills are looking like the class of the whole league. Tennessee, meanwhile, is decidedly not a team like that. While no team is a walkover, the Bills severely outclass the Titans from top to bottom. They should have no difficulty in dominating Tennessee on the road where Nashville related demons need to be exorcised. They can’t even use the trap game excuse as a freshly beaten in London by a fantastically bad Jaguars team, Dolphins are on next week’s docket. Defenestrate the Titans from the finicky clutches of the AFC contender’s club and move on. 

A hearty feast on Derrick Henry

Stop the transcendent beast that is Derrick Henry and you’ve won the game in essence. Tannehill, given all of his offensive line and receiver issues, poses no threat to steal the game on his own. A top gear Henry is a tough assignment for any defense, but the Bills have the firepower to match him at every level. 

Revenge of the…Herd?

The Titans thoroughly outclassed the Bills last season at Nissan Stadium. Buffalo will be out to avenge that Tuesday night loss (due to COVID). A loss that included the eternal soul removal of Josh Norman afflicted upon him by one Derrick Henry. Can the top team in the league keep the positive momentum going in the land of honky tonks and bachelorette parties? 

Injury Report

What are the odds?

Caesars has the Bills as 5.5 point favorites at -110 while the Titans are +110 dogs. The over/under has been set at 53.5. The money line is the Titans at -250 and the Jaguars at +205.

BetMGM has the Bills as 5,5 point favorites at -110 while the Titans are +110 dogs. The over/under has been set at 53.5. The money line is the Bills at -250 and the Titans at +200.

Wynnbet has the Bills as six-point favorites at -105 while the Titans are +115 dogs. The over/under has been set at 53 even. The money line is the Bills at -240 and the Titans +200.

Prediction

BUFFALO BILLS 49

Tennessee Titans 21

Prize Picks

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– As I mentioned before, no sharks or optimizers, or any of the above DFS wizards. It’s just you against the PrizePicks machinations. 

Previous KTE Editions

KTE: Jacksonville Jaguars

Know Thy Enemy: Seattle Seahawks

Know Thy Enemy: Indianapolis Colts

KTE: New York Jets

NFL Power Rankings Week 5: 7 Up, 7 Down – Thrive at Five

NFL Power Rankings Week Five, Credit: BillsWire

A wild and wacky Week 5 is done and dusted. What were the biggest topics on the tongues and minds of NFL folks league wide? Who were the heroes and villains of the fifth week? 14 of the hottest storylines dotting the NFL landscape. The Weekly NFL Power Rankings for week five are here and the question begs itself: who had the drive to thrive in week five?

Up

1. Kyle Pitts FINALLY gets his first touchdown

– The rookie star tight end finally got his first touchdown against the Jets on the soil of America’s greatest ally. Topping off his greatest game as the focal point of the Falcons’ offense (which necessitated due to injuries to the emerging Calvin Ridley). Perhaps this game propels the precocious rookie forward into being the premier tight end league-wide as once was promised? Rookie tight ends are notorious for being fickle in their impact. Head coach Arthur Smith hasn’t been utilizing him as the promised future at the position until Sunday so there’s that factor as well. Maybe this is the game that changes that. Pitts’ fantasy owners will surely love it. 

2. Burrow to Chase is the goods

– Quite a burgeoning friendship one would suspect if both stay healthy and fulfill their endless potential. Chase on target to, well, chase down the GOAT rookie receiver season of Randy Moss 1998. The ascendant star receiver added another 159 yards and a touchdown on just six receptions on Sunday against the Packers. Burrow put a mighty scare into the Bengals after getting hit hard on a scramble (he ultimately returned) and he was admitted to the hospital for a throat contusion. If both players can stay healthy, they can be one of the more lethal quarterback and receiver duos in this league.

3. 1 PM window finishes 

– The early slate delivered some wild hijinks to close it out. Which made up for the relatively nonchalant finishes that the late afternoon games provided us. We all witnessed the crazy back and forth missed kick contest between the Packers and Bengals extend beyond the start of the late window. A game Houston squad made it tough for the Patriots and held the lead until the Pats came back late. Denver got past its offensive struggles and made it a contest deep into the 60th minute against the Steelers. Detroit actually held the lead in a dramatic affair with the injury-depleted Vikings before ultimately succumbing to yet another long-distance game-winning kick. It’s a fun league-wide trend that these games are so close this season. The fans are simultaneously reaching for the antiacids and their phones on an increasing basis this year. We’re all here for the drama. 

4. Browns and Chargers stop playing defense

– The late slate did provide the viewers with some incredible offensive fireworks as both the Browns and Chargers decided to play a game of H-O-R-S-E in the fourth quarter. It was mind-boggling as each team traded long touchdowns like cryptocurrency. After a relatively quiet three quarters, the teams combined for whopping FORTY-ONE points in the final stanza. Both teams went over a combined 1,000 yards of total offense in this one. Justin Herbert continues to solidify his case as a top-five quarterback in this league with every bomb throw he makes and game-winning drives. Where else could you get an entire defense actively trying to drag a runner into the end zone? 

5. The Jameis Winston Experience 

– We got the full ride on Sunday on that roller coaster. He threw a ghastly interception then follows it up with this beauty of a deep shot to Deonte Harris. Overall, Mr. Winston has had a great season controlling his inner turnover demons thus far. He’s played well in Sean Payton’s system and with Taysom Hill’s unfortunate injury, looks to be the only passer touching the ball for a bit. Comeback Player of the Year contender? 

6. The 2021 MVP race crystalizes

– The race for the 2021 MVP award is likely down to three contenders as we move deeper into October and beyond. The three lucky contestants: Kyler Murray, Josh Allen, and Justin Herbert. There could be a dark horse that looms on the horizon like grizzled graybeards Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, and the like but it’s these three young guns battling it out. All three are off to fast starts and leading their teams as division contenders if not outright favorites. You can’t go wrong with any of them winning the award at the end. Allen is proving that he’s here to stay after a remarkable 2020. Murray is leading the league’s top offense. The Los Angeles Charger signal-caller has come on like gangbusters during his sophomore season after a remarkable rookie year. Allen likely wins it after establishing his bonafides last year. 

7. The 2019 MVP Stakes His Claim to the Crown

–  Lamar Jackson had a performance for the ages on Monday Night Football, leading the Ravens to a stirring comeback victory over the Colts. He’s well on his way to making the MVP race a four-way contest with the aforementioned three young guns above. It will be a thrilling race to the very end and Jackson has the precedence as a prior winner to know what it takes to win it. He has progressed every season as a passer under Greg Roman’s watch. Can he win the award for a second time?

Down

1. Special Teams coaches’ heart rates 
– The specialists in Week 5 were on one this week. A whopping 12 missed extra points plagued the league’s foot meeting with leather people, including THREE in the Texans-Patriots (in a dome, no less). The aforementioned Cincinnati-Packers featured both kickers missing game-winning kicks on repeat, including Mason Crosby missing THREE BY HIMSELF in about 15 minutes of game time. Of course, we can’t leave out the punters as a 0-yard punt AND a double punt happened! There’s nothing that epitomizes the weekend more than Evan McPherson pulling a Nick Young and celebrating a bit too early.

2. Injuries

– Another brutal week of injuries took a toll around the league as multiple stars are looking at long term issues. None more so than the Giants as Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley, and Kenny Golladay were all knocked out of the game. The Browns didn’t escape as Jack Conklin, Denzel Ward, Greedy Williams, and JOK suffered game-ending injuries as well. Pittsburgh receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster injured his shoulder and is out for the season. The offensive linemen suffered heavily as Joe Thuney (broken hand), Oday Aboushi (ACL), Germain Ifedi (knee), Laremy Tunsil (hand), Sam Cosmi (ankle), Rodger Saffold (shoulder) were all declared OUT. At what point do the owners realize that the 17th game isn’t worth it? Do teams begin to schedule loss games like the San Antonio Spurs infamously made legendary?

3. Business is not booming for Miami 

– There’s no shame in losing to the GOAT quarterback. However, there is shame in how they lost. The Dolphins’ defense was dismantled in a devastating fashion as all three units were to blame. The secondary was lit on fire as Antonio Brown got loose on a pair of touchdowns. How dominant was the Bucs offensive line? Well, let’s say a picture is worth a thousand words. Not to mention that the Twitter account of Tua Tagovailoa’s gym went on a Brian Flores-related rant after the game. Things aren’t rosy for the denizens of Hard Rock Stadium right now.

4. Coaches wearing the scandalous scarlet letters 

– I won’t get into the Urban Meyer stuff this week as it’s been harangued into oblivion. It’s definitely not a great look for a coach with a questionable character already struggling to adapt to the pro game. The Jaguars looked relatively competitive on Sunday despite the week filled with questions about Meyer’s antics. However, on the west coast, Raiders head coach Jon Gruden is in a lot of hot water regarding racist emails about NFLPA director DeMaurice Smith. Then the New York Times broke the news that the Gruden emails got horrifically worse, way worse. Gruden has elected to resign, according to NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero

5. Denver’s offense is who we thought that they were 

– Try as they might, the Broncos’ offense just couldn’t get it going until it was desperation time against the Steelers. Teddy Bridgewater, while a capable quarterback, isn’t the most physically gifted passer. Throw in an offense that is recovering a key asset or two like Courtland Sutton, it’s going to take a minute to gel together. Next week might be a get-right game against the tumultuous scandal-ridden Raiders in the Mile High City.

6. Seattle without Chef Unlimited 

– We will get a few weeks’ glimpses into the possibly not too distant Wilson-less future with Russell Wilson out due to injury. Geno Smith takes over as the starter. The schedule is demanding to say the least with a road trip to Pittsburgh, home against the Saints, away at Green Bay, and home to Arizona dotting the next four out of five games. Can the Seahawks keep their heads above water in the Division of Death with Mr. Unlimited? 

7. The Chiefs defense is bad

– Yeah, nothing new here but it’s dire for the men under the watch of Steve Spagnuolo. The numbers are disastrous and I’m not sure Spags’ pedigree can save them this time. Missing their best defensive lineman Chris Jones isn’t helping much, either. It’s a long season yet the defensive statistics reflect a team with a much lesser talent profile. Wherever the season ends up for the Chiefs to be seen, it is ominous. Patrick Mahomes can’t keep on rescuing the defense when he’s battling some issues himself. 

Previous Editions

Week 1: Opening Overreactions

Wk 2: Perceptive Repeats

Week 3: So Nice, Do It Thrice

Week 4: Good Quads Like Saquon

Week 5 Preview – Know Thy Enemy: Jacksonville Jaguars

Key Numbers + Info (2021 season)

Record: 0-4 (0-1 AFC South)

Points scored: 74

PPG: 18.5

Points allowed: 115

PPGa: 28.75

Average yards per rush: 4.9

Avg. yards per rush allowed: 3.5

Average rush yards per game: 112.5

Avg. rush yards per game allowed: 106.25

Rushing TDs: 4 for, 6 against

Avg. pass yards per game: 209.25

Avg. pass yards per game allowed: 312.25

Passing TDs: 5 for, 6 against

Pass Completion Rate: 57%

Pass Completion Rate Against: 75%

Leading Rusher: James Robinson (49 attempts for 238 yards, three touchdowns)

Top Receiver: Marvin Jones, Jr (20 receptions for 218 yards, two touchdowns)

Leading Tackler: Myles Jack (32 tackles, one tackle for loss)

Key Additions: QB Trevor Lawrence (rookie), WR Marvin Jones, Jr, RB Carlos Hyde, S Rayshawn Jenkins, DL Jihad Ward, DT Malcolm Brown (trade), CB Tyson Campbell (rookie), S Andre Cisco (rookie), CB Shaquill Griffin, WR Tavon Austin, OT Walker Little (rookie), DL Roy Robertson-Harris, TE Dan Arnold

Key Losses: QB Gardner Minshew (traded), RB Travis Etienne (IR), WR D.J. Chark (IR), OL AJ Cann (IR), RB Duke Johnson, LB Dylan Moses (NFI), LB Joe Schobert (traded), CB CJ Henderson (traded) HC Urban Meyer (locker room and very little remaining integrity)

Series History

Tennessee leads the series 32-21-0

Tennessee Call Out, Ball Out

Derrick Henry. Jaguars Killer

– Henry is a notorious Jaguars killer and has made a career’s worth of ending careers via stiff arms solely against Jacksonville defenders. He has multiple 200-yard games against his hometown team. Tennessee will need him as the other weapons don’t even register a threat against a tough Jaguars defense. The Titans will probably have to ride him in yet another game as the offensive line cannot provide pass protection for whatever reason. He’s also continuing his good run of form as a legitimate threat out of the backfield. 

Shane Bowen is not #good

– Trevor Lawrence hasn’t been off to the greatest starts so it’s expected that he will get right and light up a wounded and abysmal Titans defense. A get-right game for the Titans defense would be ideal for under-fire defensive coordinator Shane Bowen to keep the hounds at bay. If they can’t stop him, then it will be another long season and possibly put Mike Vrabel’s status as the head coach under more scrutiny. Advisor Jim Schwartz is in the wings as a consultant who could be hired as the defensive coordinator should Bowen continue his horrifically poor run of form. Vrabel’s hands aren’t bloodless either as this is his defense with a new name on the DC door. 

Business Trip

– Tennessee failed to put away the Jets and paid dearly for it with a shocking loss last week. They need to win this one to show something as an AFC contender or be known as false hope. Get in, dominate, and get out as healthy as you can. This needs to be the mindset of the team after last week’s miserable failure. Nashville’s team needs to quit playing down to the level of its opponents and treat every game like it’s the playoffs. A loss to Jacksonville won’t kill the season entirely but it will put a severe dent in the Titans’ aspirations to win the division again.  

Keys to a Jaguars Victory

Establish. The. Run

What’s a good way to get a struggling rookie quarterback going? A running game to take the load off his shoulders of course. James Robinson has ascended to the top of the depth chart once again and increasingly looks like his breakout rookie self in his second season. Trevor Lawrence has yet to reach his full potential and has looked overwhelmed like a typical rookie quarterback at times. Tennessee is coming into the game, heavily injured, and once sported a whopping 20 players on the injury report. The Titans’ defense has been massively depleted, particularly the front seven. A recipe for the Jaguars to unleash its run game. 

Pressure the Quarterback

The Titans’ offensive line has been categorically, undeniably, a horrendous farcical portrait of quality line play. They have surrendered an insane 17 sacks to match Tannehill’s jersey number. Teams are beginning to use the Titans as the “get right” game to cure whatever ails their anemic pass rush. Chandler Jones still hasn’t matched the sack totals he accumulated against Tennessee. The Jets teed off to the tune of SEVEN sacks last week. Jacksonville has the weapons but not the production to cause havoc. If Josh Allen and co can get home, it will be a miserable day for the Tennessee offense missing key starters. 

Team Mentality

What’s it like after a week full of the scandalous Urban Meyer brouhaha? It can’t be positive after reports emerged that Meyer has already lost the locker room amidst a winless season. How does the team respond after all that mess? Do they fold or rally around each other to win one?  

Injury Report

Update: Tennessee has since downgraded EDGE Bud Dupree and OT Ty Sambrailo to OUT

What are the odds?

Caesars has the Titans as 4.5 point favorites at -110 while the Jaguars are +110 dogs. The over/under has been set at 48.5. The money line is the Titans at -210 and the Jaguars at +175.

BetMGM has the Titans as 4.5 point favorites at -110 while the Jaguars are +110 dogs. The over/under has been set at 48.5. The money line is the Titans at -200 and the Jaguars at +165.

Wynnbet has the Titans as four point favorites at -115 while the Jaguars are +105 dogs. The over/under has been set at 48.5. The money line is the Titans at -215 and the Jaguars +165.

Prediction

TENNESSEE 24

Jacksonville 17

Prize Picks

Need a fantasy game that won’t leave you wanting to bang your head against a wall going against the top sharks in the DFS world? Well, PrizePicks is the one app for you! You can find it on both the Google Play Store and Apple’s App Store.

How to play with ATB

**use promo code “ATB” to get a 100% instant deposit match up to $100**

– PrizePicks allows the user to mix multisport entries (which is great with both NHL + NBA getting going soon and the MLB playoffs starting). For instance, you can take LeBron James’ counting numbers, Ji-Man Choi home runs, and Aaron Rodgers touchdown passes over all in one go.)

– Like I mentioned before, no sharks or optimizers, or any of the above DFS wizards. It’s just you against the machine. 

Previous KTE Editions

Know Thy Enemy: Seattle Seahawks

Know Thy Enemy: Indianapolis Colts

KTE: New York Jets

NFL Power Rankings: 7 Up, 7 Down – Good Quads like Saquon

The first quarter of the 2021 NFL season is in the books! Time sure goes by fast when we’re having fun. Which seven most burning topics of the who, what, why, and the how of week four stood out? Which teams have some work to do as we exit the first quadrant of 2021? Let’s take a look at some NFL Power rankings and answer the question: Who had a good quads like Saquon Barkley?

Up

1. Matty Ice can still flash the fastball 

Our NFL power rankings begin in Atlanta. The old aging warhorse showed he’s plenty capable of uncorking the heater on occasion, as he did on Sunday. He was great against a dominant WFT front and showed some life just yet, including a beautiful whistling dart to Kyle Pitts. Add in four scoring tosses (three to sudden WR1 / RB1 Cordarrelle Patterson) and a hilarious, spritely gallop to extend a must-have late drive.

While he won’t be the Matt Ryan of old any longer, he still has a bit left in the tank to unleash performances like the one on Sunday. It’s quite unfortunate that his defensive teammates can’t stop Falconing so often. Next up for the Falcons, a date across the pond with the one-win Jets. 

2. Kyler Murray is always fun

What else can we say about the kid at this point? He’s on a rampage even against the best of defenses. Murray is easily the frontrunner for MVP as we exit the first quadrant of the 2021 season. The electric playmaker is proving all the doubters wrong every week. Defensive coordinators are just flabbergasted and torn asunder trying to scheme against him. Murray has the potential to be the fully evolved and weaponized Michael Vick in an offense that fits him perfectly. 

3. The Dallas buddy cop show is back on the air

Dak continues to round back into pre-injury form and for the first time in a long while, we had a dominant Zeke performance Sunday (against the top-ranked run defense, no less). If the offensive line can somewhat keep Dak and Zeke going to match their suddenly performing defense, Dallas might be an NFC contender. The NFC East has habitually shown that any competent team could win it. Is America’s Team truly back? Time will only tell. 

4. Justin Fields sans Matt Nagy calling plays 

Much to the chagrin of fantasy owners who picked up the Lions’ defense, Justin Fields had a nice rebound game after last week’s disaster. The difference? Matt Nagy not calling the plays and being a bemused bystander/delegator. OC Bill Lazor took over the play-calling duties and the difference in Fields was night and day. If Nagy can just stick to being maddeningly furtive and nonsensical during press conferences and avoid the headset, the Bears can do something. It’s only the Lions but baby steps, people, baby steps. Up next for Fields and co are the hapless Raiders defense who Justin Herbert dissected with ease on Monday night.

5. Sam Darnold revivalist movement

Speaking of young quarterbacks trying to redeem themselves, enter Sam Darnold. OC Joe Brady certainly has begun to rebuild Darnold after his Jets tenure was so rocky. It only has been four weeks but the signs of a Darnold revival are there. Many people were skeptical of him being able to play the position but he has proved that he’s more than capable early on. He has been the first passer in team history to throw for 300 yards or more in three straight games. Who leads the entire league in rushing touchdowns? Not Derrick Henry. Darnold does. The young buck could be on his way to stardom if this keeps up.  

6. The Diggs holiday family football games must be INTENSE

Cowboys cornerback Trevon Diggs has ascended to the ranks as one of the best corners in the game this season. Receiver brother Stefon was one of the best receivers already. Trevon has had an impressive start to 2021, snagging five interceptions and shutting opposing receivers down. Stefon continues to be the focal point for the Bills offense. Just how crazy are the holiday backyard games in the Diggs household? We need the All-22 footage right now! Could we see the brothers go up against one another on a sunny day in Los Angeles in the month of February? 

7. Russ Cooking to 💯 wins

Bonus Ups: Chris Jones really tried that bounce pass off the Referee + Hunter Renfrow is Vegas DB1

First up, we have Chris Jones trying to imitate LeBron’s self alley-oop dunk with the ref acting like the glass on the way to the failed fumble recovery. *Insert at least he tried Bart Simpson cake meme*

Next, Hunter Renfrow makes an astute observation of the incoming Chargers fake punt and destroys the receiver

Down

1. A bad day at the office for the Texans offense

If players and teams are rising in the NFL power rankings, others must be falling. We all knew that there would be bad days for the hapless Texans but Sunday was a horrifying example of what happens when a vastly superior team shows up. Davis Mills had a massive “welcome to the NFL, rookie” game, throwing four interceptions en-route to a Bills 40-0 rout.

Three straight losses for Houston and a date against a smarting Patriots squad looking for a rebound. Somehow, some way the Texans are in second place in the AFC South. 

2. Mike Vrabel and Sean Payton

Both of these coaches deserve to lose their parking spots for their abject failures in leading their teams to painful defeats against vastly inferior opponents. Vrabel had no excuse in particular against the previously winless Jets. Payton even less so with them blowing a lead in the fourth quarter, allowing for a walkoff TD to young Saquon Barkley.

It’s time for both men to make changes. The Saints need to scrap the two quarterback thing and stick with Jameis Winston for good or bad. Tennessee needs to let DC Shane Bowen go and move Jim Schwartz into a full time role. 

3. Big Ben is what he is

The end has come for a once-proud, aging star quarterback, and Father Time waits for absolutely no one when he arrives. The mind may still be willing but the body just isn’t responsive at this point in his career. Roethlisberger tried his best to hang on to what little gifts he has left but he should retire at the end of the season to save face for himself and the organization.

The offensive line issues are aplenty but Ben is sadly beyond the pale. He should get ready for the Hall of Fame enshrinement in 2026 instead of giving it another go in 2022. 

4. Jared Goff and Detroit had a Jared Goof type of day

How’s the Lions season going, you ask? Well, it’s going kind of like this:

5. Bill Belichick and late game management

Speaking of questionable late game management, we enter into evidence Bill Belichick’s mystifying decision to attempt a 56 yard field goal on fourth and short. If he opts to go for it, either way the game is likely over at that point. In a year that more and more teams are going for it on fourth down in plus territory, he opts against it.

The Patriots don’t convert, Thomas Brady has to drive down the field on an absolutely rain blasted soaked pitch and he looked shaky at points in the game. If they do get it, they can continue to milk the clock for a closer attempt on the very same slick surface. Did Belichick outsmart himself trying to teach the old man a lesson? 

6. Jimmy G as the 49ers starter 

We may have witnessed the end of the Jimmy Garoppolo regime by the Bay through no fault of his own. He injured his calf during Sunday’s contest and Trey Lance had to step in for a cameo appearance. The kid wasn’t half bad, tossing two touchdowns to no interceptions.

Calf injuries, like most soft tissue injuries are notoriously finicky so it will be interesting to see if Jimmy G can go next Sunday or the rookie stepping in for a start. Garoppolo has been nothing but a consummate professional dealing with the notoriety of being “Mr. Right Now” while assisting Lance in his development. 

7. Captain Kirk vs. The Baker

Let’s just say that it won’t go down as the preeminent quarterback duel of our lifetimes any time soon. Both passers were, to put it mildly, not up to expectations on Sunday. Sorry, Kirk and Baker, absolutely no one progressively liked that. Not even opposing defensive coordinators. The Vikings did win an enthralling 14-7 stare-down, however. Perhaps it is best that the tape gets burned before everyone’s retinas are pervasively damaged from watching that horror show. Minnesota hosts the Lions while the Browns travel to Los Angeles to face rising superstar QB Justin Herbert next.  

Previous 7 Up, 7 Downs

Opening Overreactions

A Perceptive Repeat

So Nice, Do it Thrice