It’s that time of the week, once again, for some more NFL bets! Last week, we started off strong, hitting that Colts moneyline, and then the Packers were looking good, too, heading into the fourth quarter. Then, Green Bay blew their lead, leaving us hoping for the Saints to give us a winning record. Of course, they pushed. After going 1-1-1, we are now at 3-2-1 on the season for the NFL portion of our Best Bets series.

Hopefully, we can keep right the ship this week. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Friday afternoon. Also, be sure to catch me and my fellow ATB bettors’ locks and underdogs of the week on Around The Book. Let’s get started and dive into the best NFL bets for Week 3!

Bills at Commanders: Commanders +6.5 (-110)

Yes, Buffalo looked like a juggernaut last week, but that may have been more about Las Vegas’ struggles than anything else. The Bills are a good team, but they do have flaws. As we saw in Week 1, they have trouble stopping the run. Washington should be able to exploit that far more than the Raiders did.

As far as the Commanders go, they have not looked bad this year. They have played the dregs of the league, but 2-0 is 2-0. Sam Howell has not looked bad. The offense moves the ball well and the defense is at least respectable. Expect Washington to keep it close, take the points.

Patriots at Jets: Patriots -2.5 (-120)

It turns out that Zach Wilson and Jets are not as good as we thought they were after the season opener. They cannot protect their young quarterback, and he cannot get the ball out quick enough.

That is too much of a weakness for Bill Belichick to exploit. The Patriots have looked okay this year, despite the 0-2 start. This game seems like the perfect opportunity for their first win of the year. New England only having to win by a field goal makes this one too good to pass up, despite sub-par value.

Bears at Chiefs: Under 48 (-112)

This game is almost certainly going to be a blow out. The Chiefs are slowly finding their stride, while the Bears are a complete dumpster fire. Typically that would be a great over play, but there’s plenty of reason to take the under.

The Bears have been completely inept on offense. It is unlikely things improve against a talented, and aggressive, Kansas City defense. They will struggle to score more than 10 points this week. On the other side of the ball, don’t expect the Chiefs to run it up. They don’t have the receivers to blow teams’ doors off. Also, they are beginning to control the ball more with the run. They might break 30, but getting over 35 would be a stretch. The under should hit pretty comfortably.

Week 3 NFL Best Bets Recap

• Commanders +6.5 (-110)
• Patriots -2.5 (-120)
• Bears @ Chiefs: Under 48 (-112)
• Parlay odds: +562

We are back with three more great bets for this week’s NFL slate. We got off to a great start in week one, going 2-1 including two underdog money lines! Hopefully, we can keep that going this week. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Friday afternoon. Also, be sure to catch me and my fellow ATB bettors’ locks and underdogs of the week on Around The Book. Let’s get started and dive into the best NFL bets for week 2!

Packers at Falcons: Packers Money Line (+102)

This line is shocking considering how good Green Bay looked in their opener against the Bears. To be fair, the Falcons also had a strong showing last week against the Panthers. That, plus being at home, must be why they are favored slightly.

Nevertheless this seems like a great opportunity. Green Bay looked better last week and they played arguably better competition. The fact that we get plus odds for a team who probably should be favored makes this one too good to pass on. Take the Packers straight up.

Colts at Texans: Colts Money Line (+102)

This another situation where we can get plus odds for a team who should probably be favored. In fact, Indy actually was a slight favorite a few days ago. That is probably where they should have stayed. However, this matchup is a little tighter than the one mentioned above.

In this case, you have two teams who are both rebuilding with rookie quarterbacks. The difference is that the Colts still have a lot of talent and are in more of a “retooling” phase, whereas the Texans are basically in a full reset. Nevertheless, this is close to a coin-flip game, especially with it being in Houston.

If the line were reversed, the Texans would be a tempting money line pick. With things being the way they are now, the Colts are an easy pick.

Saints at Panthers: Saints -3 (-110)

Derek Carr gets his first prime time spot with his new team on Monday night. He has actually played pretty well on Monday Night Football, and boasts a winning record in those games. The Saints should have no problem laying three points against a rebuilding Panthers team. However, there is some cause for concern.

New Orleans did not look all that great in their win over Tennessee last week. They failed to cover the three point spread in that one, although that was mostly due to some questionable decision-making by Titans coach Mike Vrabel. Also, while the Titans may not be great, they looked much better than the Panthers last week. Carolina was soundly beaten 24-10 by Atlanta.

Carr and the Saints may not need much more than 20 to cover, and they should have no problem doing so this week.

Week 2 NFL Best Bets Recap

• Green Bay Packers ML (+102)
• Indianapolis Colts ML (+102)
• New Orleans Saints -3 (-110)
• Parlay odds: +678

The NFL is officially back and it is time to make some many. Similar to last year, we have three great bets for this Sunday’s action. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Friday afternoon. Also, be sure to catch me and my fellow ATB bettors’ locks and underdogs of the week on Around The Book. Let’s get started and dive into the best NFL bets for week 1!

Buccaneers at Vikings: Vikings -5.5 (-110)

The Bucs are going through it right now. After several years of being “all in” with Tom Brady, the cupboard is pretty much bare in the wake of his retirement. With Baker Mayfield at the helm, this team looks primed for a rebuild. On the other side, the Vikings look ready to make a run in a wide-open NFC title race. Kirk Cousins played great last year and he has two fantastic targets in Justin Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson.

Expect Hockenson to be a major factor in this one. Tampa Bay really struggled to cover tight ends last year. The Vikings defense is suspect, but the Bucs lack the offensive firepower to take advantage. This game might stay tight for a while, but Minnesota should have no problem winning by at least seven or eight.

Bengals at Browns: Browns Money Line (+110)

I love the Browns as a home ‘dog, pun intended. They really started to find their groove towards the end of last season. Deviant quarterback Deshaun Watson should be much more comfortable after having a full off-season as the team’s official starter. The Bengals, on the other hand, could start a little slow, as their quarterback, Joe Burrow, did not have a full training camp due to injury.

Even with the slow start, the Bengals still have a lot of talent. That makes this divisional game more of a toss-up. In that case, go with the team getting plus odds at home. Take the money line here at a solid value.

Packers at Bears: Packers Money Line (+105)

This matchup will look far different from most of the recent meetings of this classic rivalry. The reason for that is the absence of Aaron Rodgers. His presence has helped Green Bay win the last eight meetings. With Jordan Love taking over, we have to wonder if Justin Fields and the Bears can turn the tide in this series. Vegas seems to agree as they are favoring Chicago, albeit slightly.

Don’t be fooled by the spread though. Chicago being a one point favorite at home is actually a bit damning. Typically, the rule of thumb for handicapping games is that the home team gets three points. This line signals that Vegas still feels like Green Bay is the better team, and they should. While Love may be an unknown commodity, we do know that the Packers have a lot more talent everywhere else on their roster than Chicago. This is especially true in the trenches.

Expect Green Bay to grind out a low scoring victory with Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. Take the generous plus odds.

Week 1 NFL Best Bets Recap

• Minnesota Vikings -5.5 (-110)
• Cleveland Browns ML (+110)
• Green Bay Packers ML (+105)
• Parlay odds: +721