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Best College Football Bets for Championship Weekend

We are on a roll heading into Championship Weekend! Last week, we went 2-1, which puts us above .500 for the regular season at 20-19. We also made 1.1 units, putting us up 4.85 in total. We have a nice cushion heading into the post-season.

We have some great bets for Championship Weekend! All lines come via Draft Kings as of Thursday afternoon. Also, be sure to catch my, and my fellow ATB bettors’, locks and underdogs of the week on Around the Book.

Let’s get into the best bets for college football’s Championship Weekend!

College Football Championship Weekend Best Bets

Smiley N. Pool / Dallas Morning News

SMU at #22 Tulane: Tulane -3.5 (-108)

Let’s kick things off with the AAC title game. Coincidentally this will also be SMU’s last game in the AAC, as they will be joining the ACC next year. Unfortunately for the Mustangs, Tulane won’t be giving them a very sweet farewell.

The Green Wave have been, by far, the best Group of Five team in the country this year. They have been rolling along on a ten-game winning streak. Now they get to play at home for the AAC title and a trip to a New Year’s Six Bowl.

Covering this spread may seem tricky for a Tulane team that has played several close games this year. However, they seem to be finding their stride as of late. Quarterback Michael Pratt is slowly getting back to his old self, throwing for five touchdowns over the last two weeks.

Expect Tulane’s defense to limit SMU’s explosive offense. On the other side, the Green Wave should be able to score enough to win by a touchdown. Lay the points.

Appalachian State at Troy: App State ML (+170)

Let’s stay with the Group of Five for this Sun Belt championship tilt. The Mountaineers may have gotten here on a technicality (James Madison was not eligible), but they are on a mission to prove they deserve this opportunity.

App State actually beat James Madison a couple weeks ago, so they are certainly capable of beating anyone in the Sun Belt. Heck, they even took an above-average Power Five program down to the wire earlier in the season in North Carolina. After that crushing double-overtime loss, the Mountaineers got into a funk, losing three out of their next five games. However, they have bounced back in a big way, winning five in a row, including an overtime thriller over the aforementioned Dukes.

That same James Madison team did beat Troy earlier in the year. That was one of the Trojans’ only two tests this year, and they failed both of them. The other was against another above-average Power Five program in no. 25 Kansas State. The Wildcats trounced Troy by nearly 30 points.

Don’t let the records fool you, this this matchup is much closer than what the five point spread would have you believe. Even at home, the Trojans should probably not be favorites. This matchup is a great opportunity to pounce on some solid value. Take the Mountaineers straight up.

#2 Michigan vs #16 Iowa: Iowa 22 (-110)

We will wrap things up with a Power Five conference title game, albeit one of the more straight-forward ones. While Michigan should have no problem winning this game, the spread is a far different story. 22 points is a lot to cover.

While the Wolverines may be undefeated straight up, they are just barely above .500 against the spread this year. After beating up on the run-of-the-mill Big Ten teams, Michigan had an average margin of victory of just over seven points in their last three games. While that was a significant step up in competition in Ohio State, Maryland, and Penn State, the Hawkeyes are a lot closer to those teams than they are the likes of Purdue and Michigan State.

The biggest threat to Michigan covering this spread is Iowa’s defense. Outside of the 31 points they allowed to Penn State, no other team has been able to score more than 16 points against the Hawkeyes. It is hard to cover 22 points if you struggle to get to 30 yourself.

Remember, even a 31-10 Michigan win still hits for this pick. Expect the Hawkeyes to get thoroughly dominated, but it won’t show up on the scoreboard. Lay the points with Iowa in what should be an anti-climactic end to the East vs West era of the Big Ten title game.

College Football Championship Weekend Best Bets Recap

  • Tulane -3.5 (-108)
  • App State ML (+170)
  • Iowa +22 (-110)
  • Parlay odds: +892

Best College Football Bets For Week 13

We are back on track heading into the final week of the college football regular season. Last week, we went 2-1, taking us back to an even 18-18 for the year. We also made 0.93 units, putting us up 3.75 in total. That guarantees we finish the regular season in the black.

While the bag may be secure, we need to go at least 2-1 this weekend to finish the regular season with a winning record. We have a great weekend of games to bet, as it is Rivalry Weekend in the world of college football. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Thursday afternoon. Also, be sure to catch my, and my fellow ATB bettors’, locks and underdogs of the week on Around the Book.

Let’s get into the best bets for Week 13 of the college football season!

Week 13 College Football Best Bets

Photo Credit: AP Photo/Paul Sancya

#2 Ohio State at #3 Michigan: Under 47 (-110)

We have been feasting on unders all year. This week is no different. Picking the winner of this game might be tricky, but the total should be much more predictable.

The nice thing about this matchup is that we have seen both teams play another big opponent with a great defense recently in Penn State. Both teams relied heavily on the run game and let their quarterbacks just manage the game. In massive games like this one, expect both offenses to play for field position and try to avoid the big mistakes.

We may not know the winner, but this game has 23-20 written all over it. This will be a tight, conservative, low-scoring affair. Hammer the under.

Colorado at Utah: Colorado +23.5 (-110)

We are going to tail fellow ATB better JT Olson in this one. As he mentioned on Around The Book this week, this is one of those lines that doesn’t even feel real. Keep in mind that was back when the spread was 21.5. It has since moved two points to give the Buffaloes an even bigger cushion.

Colorado shouldn’t need it. Of their seven losses this season, just two have been by double digits. Deion Sanders’ squad has been just good enough to avoid being blown out. On the flip side, Utah simply does not have the offensive firepower to beat most teams by 20+ points. Of their seven wins this season, the Utes have beaten just three teams by more than two scores. Also, it is worth noting that those wins did not exactly come against powerhouses in Weber State, Cal, and Arizona State.

Look, there is almost no chance that Colorado wins this game. Nevertheless, they should have no problem keeping this game within 20. Take the points in this one comfortably. In fact, it may be worth looking into alternate spreads, such as Colorado +17.5 (+141).

Wisconsin at Minnesota: Wisconsin ML (+120)

Alright, enough playing it safe. Let’s boost our value this week with an underdog moneyline pick. There aren’t a ton of great options out there in some of the more high-profile matchups this week. However, this sleepy Big Ten tilt provides an excellent opportunity.

Wisconsin being an underdog here is quite surprising. While this has been a disappointing season, the Badgers should still be favored against most Big Ten teams. That is especially true with a reeling Minnesota team that has dropped three straight. The Golden Gophers shouldn’t be favored against anyone right now, even at home, in what figures to be a tight rivalry game.

On paper, this is a close matchup, but you would still lean towards Wisconsin. In these types of games, you have to take a team getting significant plus odds. Take the Badgers with some solid value.

Week 13 College Football Best Bets Recap

  • Ohio State @ Michigan UNDER 47 (-110)
  • Colorado +23.5 (-110)
  • Wisconsin ML (+120)
  • Parlay odds: +701

Best College Football Bets For Week 12

The Best Bets train is off the rails and careening into a small village. Just when things were starting to pop off for us, we get skunked. The 0-3 weekend drops us down to 16-17 on the season. We also lost 3.0 units, but we’re still up 2.82 on the year!

Here’s hoping we can get that momentum back as we head into the home stretch. We’ve got three more great picks this week. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Thursday evening. Also, be sure to catch my, and my fellow ATB bettors’, locks and underdogs of the week on Around the Book.

Let’s get into the best bets for Week 12 of the college football season!

Week 12 College Football Best Bets

Photo Credit: TCR / Brad Repplinger

Illinois at #16 Iowa: Under 32 (-112)

We tried getting cute last week for betting against Iowa outright. This week, we’ll play it safe and just bet against Iowa’s offense. That has been fairly reliable

Over the last five weeks, the Hawkeyes are averaging just over 15 points per game. Getting to that number this week won’t be easy against a solid Illinois defense. As bad as the offense is, the defense has been holding opponents to even fewer points, allowing just under eight points per game in that same span. The Illini should be able to eclipse this, but not by much.

Honestly, Iowa’s opponent is irrelevant. Like every other Big Ten foe, they will get sucked into an unwatchable rock fight. An Iowa game hasn’t eclipsed a total of 32 points in over a month. Don’t expect that trend to break this week.

#20 North Carolina at Clemson: North Carolina ML (+260)

This line feels too good to be true. On paper, there is no reason why the Tar Heels should be underdogs in this game. They have also generally looked like the better team this year.

The main arguments for Clemson would be that they are at home and that they looked solid a couple weeks ago against Notre Dame. Also, they have beaten the Tar Heels in each of their last five meetings. However, it is worth noting that their next most recent matchup after last year’s contest came all the way back in 2019. Those results mean nothing, as these teams are unrecognizable from what they were four seasons ago.

Even if you think Clemson has a real shot in this one, having them lay 7.5 points is just irresponsible. It is even more so when you remember that they have nothing to play for at this point. Meanwhile, North Carolina still has a shot at making the ACC title game, and their quarterback, Drake Maye, has a shot at playing himself into the top pick in the 2024 NFL draft. At +260, you can’t pass this one up.

#5 Washington at #11 Oregon State: Washington ML (+105)

Speaking of disrespectful lines, this one is even worse, despite it only being +105. Fellow ATB contributor Jake Brockhoff mentioned this pick earlier this week on Around The Book. Everyone should be jumping on this one.

There is no reason why an undefeated, top-five, Washington team with a Heisman contender at quarterback shouldn’t be favored against an 8-2 Oregon State team whose best win was an ugly victory at home against Utah. The only reason why you wouldn’t bet on the Huskies would be if you truly believed that they were not capable of going undefeated. If you truly believe that, they are more likely to drop this game than their regular season finale against Washington State.

That’s just silly. Washington has everything you need to have a perfect regular season. Most importantly, they play sound defense and they have a quarterback who can carry the team when needed. The Huskies will probably get beat at some point, but it probably won’t happen until the PAC-12 title game or the College Football Playoff. For now, I wouldn’t bet against them.

Week 12 College Football Best Bets Recap

  • Illinois @ Iowa UNDER 32 (-112)
  • North Carolina ML (+260)
  • Washington ML (+105)
  • Parlay odds: +1296

Best College Football Bets For Week 11

This best bets train just keeps on rolling as wee head into Week 11! Last week, we were just two points shy of Texas covering and securing a 3-0 Saturday. Regardless, 2-1 was good enough to propel us to 16-14 on the season. We also made another 2.04 units, which puts us up 5.82 on the year!

Here’s hoping we can hang onto this momentum to finish out the year. We’ve got three more great picks this week. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Thursday evening. Also, be sure to catch my, and my fellow ATB bettors’, locks and underdogs of the week on Around the Book.

Let’s get into the best bets for Week 11 of the college football season!

Best College Football Bets for Week 11

Indiana at Illinois: Indiana ML (+200)

Let’s kick things off with some ugly Big Ten football. This matchup pits two of the conference’s basement-dwellers against one another. However, both teams are trending in different directions.

There was never much hope for Indiana this season, as they will always be at a disadvantage to their fellow members of the Big 10 East. Nevertheless, the Hoosiers have been playing well as of late. They nearly upset #10 Penn State a couple weeks ago.

Meanwhile, this year has been a disappointment for an Illinois team that once looked poised to contend for the Big 10 West crown. After dropping two of their last four games, the Illini will be lucky to get a bowl invitation.

Don’t expect this game to help their cause. Indiana should demonstrate just how lop-sided the Big 10’s divisions have been as we enter the last few weeks of their existence. Indiana provides excellent value this week at +200.

Rutgers at Iowa: Rutgers ML (-105)

Speaking of those lop-sided divisions, here is an even better example. Iowa is currently the front-runner to win the Big 10 West, and they are just a one point favorite at home against Rutgers, who is fourth in the East. Honestly, that line is still a bit generous.

Rutgers has looked great this year. They hung with both Ohio State and Michigan into the second half. The Scarlet Knights have only dropped one other game this year. They now get an Iowa team that has been sputtering down the stretch. The Hawkeyes have gone 1-1 the last two weeks in nail-biters against Minnesota and Northwestern. They were held to just 10 points in both of those games.

Rutgers is probably better defensively than either of those teams. While they may not have a ton of offensive firepower, they should be able score at least two touchdowns. That should be more than enough to come away with the win.

USC at Oregon: Over 75.5 (-112)

While 75 points may seem like an absurd total, it still may not be enough. Vegas would have been better off just setting the total at “sh*tload.” Numbers just can’t do it justice.

For perspective, USC’s last two games have both gone over 90 points. The total has eclipsed 80 in six of their 10 contests. The Trojans sport a combo of the best offensive player in college football in Caleb Williams, and one of the worst defenses in the country. That is a recipe for high-scoring games.

While Oregon hasn’t had nearly as many barn-burners this year, the Ducks can still put up points in bunches. They have the nation’s highest-scoring offense at 47.7 points per game. While they also sport a top-15 scoring defense, that might not matter much this week.

USC will be hard pressed to keep Bo Nix and the Ducks under 50 this week. As good as Oregon’s defense is, they will struggle to keep Williams and the Trojan offense under 30. Hammer this ridiculous over.

Week 11 College Football Best Bets Recap

  • Indiana ML (+200)
  • Rutgers ML (-105)
  • USC @ Oregon: OVER 75.5 (-112)
  • Parlay odds: +1008

Best College Football Bets for Week 10

We are so friggin’ back! Last week, we hit on a top-10 upset and went 2-1 on the weekend. That gets us back above .500 to 12-13 on the year. It get a lot better though when you look at the money. We made 2.85 units last week, leaving us up 3.78 on the year!

We are getting into our first week of the year under the College Football Playoff Rankings. That has surely affected some of the lines. Hopefully, we can take advantage of that. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Thursday evening. Also, be sure to catch my, and my fellow ATB bettors’, locks and underdogs of the week on Around The Book.

Let’s get started and dive into the best bets for Week 10 of the college football season!

Week 10 College Football Best Bets

Photo Credit: Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

#23 Kansas State at #7 Texas: Texas -4 (-110)

Is Texas back? Probably not. Their loss to Oklahoma just got a lot worse after last week. Nevertheless, they still have a great shot at winning the Big 12. Kansas State shouldn’t get in the way of that.

The Wildcats are solid, but enigmatic. They step up when playing tough competition, but don’t do enough to win. Texas offers a very similar challenge to that of Missouri, but this road trip to Austin might be even tougher.

Texas’ talent will likely prove to be too much for Kansas State. The Wildcats will keep it close and respectable. However, the Longhorns should still win this one by at least a touchdown. You should feel comfortable laying four points with Texas at home.

#9 Oklahoma at #22 Oklahoma State: OK State ML (+190)

Let’s stay in the Big 12 for another matchup between two ranked opponents. Oklahoma is trying to bounce back from that upset loss against Kansas, but it won’t be easy. The Sooners now have to travel to Stillwater for the Bedlam game against a tough Oklahoma State team.

The Cowboys are playing really well as of late. They have rattled off four straight wins, all against conference opponents, including that same Kansas team that just knocked off Oklahoma.

The Sooners could be in for a long day against Oklahoma State running back Ollie Gordon II. The nation’s leading rusher could be primed for a Heisman-caliber game against an Oklahoma team who was gashed on the ground by Kansas last week.

The mismatch and the momentum should already be enough to like this upset pick. If you need more convincing, just take a look at that sweet value at +190.

#19 UCLA at Arizona: Arizona ML (+114)

That’s right, we are betting on yet another UCLA game. However, the under might be a little too low for this one with the line set at 50. The result offers better value anyways.

Arizona is beginning to build some serious momentum. This will be their fifth consecutive game against a ranked opponent. So far, they have played everyone tough. They ended September by taking a now-top-five Washington team down to the wire. Then, they almost beat USC (before everyone else) in a triple-overtime shootout. Most recently, the Wildcats have put together back-to-back wins against Washington State and Oregon State. They look ready to make it three in a row.

Keep in mind that Oregon State team is also the last team to beat UCLA. Since then, the Bruins have coasted along with games against Pac-12 basement dwellers Stanford and Colorado. If they sleepwalk through this one, they will regret it.

Just looking at conference play, Arizona has arguably looked better than UCLA at this point. The Wildcats are certainly more battle tested. They have a great opportunity at home this week to get the upset, and we have a great opportunity to make some money at +114.

Week 10 College Football Best Bets Recap

  • Texas -4 (-110)
  • OK State ML (+190)
  • Arizona ML (+114)
  • Parlay odds: +1084