Best NFL Bets For Week 12

Time for even more NFL picks! We had a pretty solid Thanksgiving, going 2-1 on the day. We are now 11-7 for the month of November. Here are five of the best bets for this Sunday’s Week 12 NFL action. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday morning.

The Atlanta Falcons headline our look at the best bets in the NFL for Week 12
Photo Credit: D. Orlando Ledbetter

Falcons at Commanders: Commanders -4 (-110)

All aboard the Taylor Heinicke hype train! Look, he may not be the answer long-term, but he is exactly what Washington needs right now. They have a good defense, they run the ball well, and they have big-time playmakers at wide receiver. They just need a quarterback to not screw it all up. In that respect, Heinickie is an upgrade over Carson Wentz.

Meanwhile, the Falcons are still somehow managing to hang around in playoff contention. Quarterback Marcus Mariota continues to do just enough to keep his job. I think this is where things finally come to a head for Atlanta.

This game with Washington is a matchup of two teams chasing the last Wild Card spot in the NFC. It is one of those games that separates the contenders from the pretenders. I like Washington enough in this one to lay the four points.

Bears at Jets: UNDER 39 (-110)

Given the most recent injury report, we might be seeing Trevor Siemian versus Mike White. Even if Fields plays and White truly is an upgrade over Zach Wilson, I still like the under in this one.

The Jets have only played three games all season that have reached a total of 40 points or more. This doesn’t seem like a matchup that will buck that trend. The Bears offense will have a fair amount of trouble scoring on a stout Jets defense. On the other side, don’t forget that White has more interceptions than passing touchdowns for his career.

Chargers at Cardinals: Cardinals Moneyline (+125)

Here we have another matchup of teams that might be good, but still have a lot to prove. The Cardinals are getting Kyler Murray back this week and the Chargers look about as healthy as they’ve been in quite some time. We should get a real good look at where both teams are as we head into the stretch-run of the season.

In reality, this game is pretty much a coin-toss. However, there are three reasons to pick Arizona. First, they’ve got home-field advantage. Second, the Chargers have a real knack for finding ways to lose games. Finally the Cardinals offer solid value at +125.

Rams at Chiefs: Rams +15.5 (-110)

Given what we have seen over the past month or so, it’s understandable if you want to avoid the Rams. That being said, this is the NFL, and it is hard to cover 15.5 points against anyone. While they haven’t been good lately, the Rams are still the defending Super Bowl champs. This spread feels awfully disrespectful.

It’s worth noting that the Chiefs have only won three games all season by more than 15 points. They aren’t exactly blowing the doors off teams this year. Honestly, at +800, taking the Rams straight up is tempting. We’ll play it safe though and just take the points.

Packers at Eagles: Packers Moneyline (+250)

I might be going out on a limb here, but just bear with me. Doesn’t this game have all the makings of a potential upset? These primetime games can be full of surprises. They can also be the games where one player can just take over.

Speaking of which, the Packers have this guy by the name of Aaron Rodgers. You may have heard of him before. He is pretty good. It helps that he is starting to build a rapport with wide receiver Christian Watson.

A game like this under the bright lights is the perfect opportunity for Rodgers to remind folks that he is still a baaad man. It also doesn’t hurt that the Eagles are currently coming to grips with their own mortality. There is enough value here at +250 to make this upset worth chasing to close out our best bets in the NFL for Week 12.

Best NFL Bets for Thanksgiving

Time for some bonus NFL betting content! We’ve got three games on the Thanksgiving slate, let’s see if we can build off the momentum from going 3-2 on Sunday. Here are three great bets for the Thanksgiving NFL action. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Wednesday afternoon.

Photo Credit: AP Photo/Adam Hunger

Bills at Lions: Lions +9 (-110)

The Bills finally got back into the win column after a home win in Detroit over the Browns. Now, Buffalo heads back to the Motor City as the visiting team to take on the surging Detroit Lions. You read that right, the Lions come into this game riding a three-game winning streak.

Let’s be clear, that streak is likely to end this week. That being said, it might be somewhat close. The Lions are playing good football right now. The Bills haven’t been their best. Josh Allen doesn’t look completely himself, and that defense is hurting. I think the Lions find themselves down a couple scores, but get a garbage time score to pull within eight. Take the points.

Giants at Cowboys: Giants +10 (-105)

This feels like a gift. I get why the bookies have handicapped it this way, but I don’t agree with it at all. Their rationale is that the Cowboys are playing great, they typically play well on Thanksgiving, and the Giants are slowly coming back down to Earth. It all makes sense, but it’s not enough to lay 10 on the Cowboys.

There are a lot of unknowns in this contest. Divisional games tend to be a little screwy due to the extra familiarity. The same goes for Thursday games in general due to the lack of time to prepare. Another factor is this massive injury report. Who knows who is going to play and what shape they will be in.

Given all these unknowns, let’s focus on the facts. On paper, these teams are not that far apart. It is hard to win by double digits in the NFL. Take the points once again.

Patriots at Vikings: UNDER 42.5 Points (-110)

The Patriots and Vikings are not the matchup we are going to bet here to cap off our NFL Thanksgiving bets. Normally, that would be a no-brainer. However, there is a much bigger matchup to watch: Kirk Cousins versus prime time.

The man just stinks under the bright lights. That being said, he won’t have to be that good to get by New England. For that reason, we’re going with the path of least resistance and betting the total.

This is an easy one. Cousins doesn’t play well in late games and the Patriots have a very good defense. On the other side of the ball, the Vikings are average defensively, and the Patriots offense is in the bottom half of the league in points scored. Expect this game to be a race to 20. Take the under.

Best NFL Bets for Week 11

It’s time to uncover the best bets on this week’s NFL slate for Week 11! Last week, we went 3-2 but hit on the Vikings upsetting the Bills, so it was a solid week. Let’s see if we can go perfect this week. Here are five great bets for this week’s NFL action. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday morning.

The Philadelphia Eagles are the best bet in the NFL to have a bounce-back in Week 11
Photo Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Eagles at Colts: Eagles -6.5 (-115)

The Eagles were the NFL’s last remaining undefeated team before getting upset by the Washington Commanders on Monday Night Football this past week. Immediately after, Eagles general manager Howie Roseman went out and signed two veteran defensive tackles. It is clear that Philadelphia is looking to get back on track right away.

The Colts provide a great opportunity for a “get-right game.” Don’t let last week’s win over the Raiders fool you, this team is a dumpster fire. Expect them to get smoked by the Eagles this week.

Bears at Falcons: Bears Moneyline (+135)

This a matchup of two teams that are both on losing streaks, but appear to be headed in different directions. The Bears have lost their last three games, but have been inching closer to the win column. What has helped is that their offense seems to have turned a corner.

Meanwhile, the Falcons have dropped their last two, but it really looks like the wheels are starting to come off. The college-style offense led by Marcus Mariota that once propelled them to the top of the NFC South has begun to sputter.

The Bears are good enough in the secondary to play man coverage against Atlanta and load the box to stop the run. This could be a signature win for Justin Fields as he looks to cement himself as the Bears’ quarterback of the future.

Jets at Patriots: UNDER 38 (-115)

This is the perfect matchup to bet the under. We’ve got two great defensive coaches in Bill Belichick and Robert Saleh, and they are both going up against inexperienced quarterbacks who are prone to mistakes. When these teams met a few weeks ago, there were a combined four interceptions thrown in a 22-17 slugfest.

In their most recent games, the Jets played the Bills to a total of 37 points, and the Pats played the Colts to a total of 29. These teams just don’t score that much. Both would rather grind it out on the ground than risk their quarterbacks turning it over. Expect this to be something like a 17-16 game. Hammer the under.

Raiders at Broncos: Raiders Moneyline (+125)

Given how bad the Raiders have looked lately, this is probably the worst of our best bets for Week 11 in the NFL. Hear me out though: two or three weeks ago, Las Vegas would have been favored to win this game. People forget, they were favorites in all three games of this current losing streak. Now, they find themselves as underdogs. Every time we flame a team in this league, they come out and prove us wrong.

Also, what on Earth have the Broncos done to be favorited to beat anyone? They beat a bad Jaguars team in a crappy London game. That’s about it. Both of these teams are bad and this game is a toss-up. Denver (-3) is only getting a field goal in this one because they are at home.

Funny enough, that might work in Vegas’ favor with Josh Jacobs on the ground and Daniel Carlson in the kicking game. Take the value (+125) in what should be a coin-flip.

Chiefs at Chargers: OVER 52 (-115)

Who doesn’t love a shootout on Sunday Night Football to close out our look at the best bets in the NFL for Week 11? Primetime game, divisional rivalry, two of the league’s premier quarterbacks, and shoddy defenses, why is over/under set so low?

There are a few reasons. Both teams have a ton of injuries at wide receiver, both defenses have played slightly better as of late, and Justin Herbert is just not himself right now. Nevertheless, the oddsmakers are overreacting a bit here.

It is important to note that Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Gerald Everett were all full participants in Friday’s practice. At least one or two of them should play this week. On the other side, the Chiefs will be without JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman, but Marquez Valdes-Scantling is good to go. As we all know by now, it doesn’t really matter who the Chiefs have at wide receiver as long as they have Patrick Mahomes (and Travis Kelce).

Expect this game to be a race to 30. I’m thinking it will be something like a 31-27 game. Take the over.

Best NFL Bets for Week 10

It is time to bet this week’s NFL slate! We had a decent record last week, but we are still chasing perfection. Here are five great NFL bets for the Week 10 games. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday afternoon.

Photo Credit: Michael Reaves/Getty Images

Browns at Dolphins: Dolphins -3.5 (-105)

The Browns are coming off a big win over a division rival. Those types of wins tend to be followed by a letdown game. It doesn’t help that they are playing a Dolphins team that is winning lately, but looking to be more dominant. Miami also needs to keep pace in the AFC East with the Bills and Jets. Cleveland, on the other hand, is in danger of almost completely falling out of the playoff hunt.

The Dolphins are just too talented, they’ll win this one by at least four, kicking off our Week 10 NFL bets with a win.

Vikings at Bills: Vikings Moneyline (+220)

It is officially time to stop sleeping on the 7-1 Vikings. They are a very good team. The fact that they are such significant underdogs in this game is kind of shocking. It is even more so when you factor in the in the injury report.

The Bills are pretty banged up defensively, which could be trouble against a team with all the offensive weapons that Minnesota has. They will likely be asking a lot from their offense this week. The problem is that Josh Allen is also not 100 percent. I like the Vikings in this one, and the value is fantastic.

Saints at Steelers: Saints -1 (-110)

This a bad matchup for the Steelers stylistically. The Saints defense is one that masks a lot of coverage and brings a lot of pressure. This usually means trouble for rookie quarterbacks like Kenny Pickett. In a matchup of two bad teams, I think the Saints are just a little bit better at this juncture. It also helps that they only have to cover one point.

Chargers at 49ers: Chargers +7.5 (-110)

This is not a great matchup for the Chargers. San Fransisco’s ball-control offense should be a problem for a team that would like to give Justin Herbert as many opportunities as possible. Nevertheless, Herbert is the reason why I like the Chargers to cover.

Expect the Niners to get out to a significant lead, but Herbert will make enough plays in the fourth quarter to pull within a score.

Commanders at Eagles: UNDER 43.5 (-110)

Carson Wentz is returning to Philly wearing the uniform of a division rival. Expect a raucous crowd at Lincoln Financial Field. Washington’s offense is already not great, but playing a stout Eagles defense in a hostile environment certainly won’t help.

That being said, Washington’s defense should keep Philly from completely running away with it. I would expect something like a 24-13 game. Take the under.

Best NFL Bets For Week 9

Photo Credit: Fox Sports

Time for some more NFL bets! Last week, we were a Packers backdoor cover away from a winning record. Hopefully we can bounce back with this week’s games. We’ll also try to make our own luck with five great NFL bets picks for this Sunday’s Week 9 games. All betting lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday morning.

Dolphins at Bears: Bears +4 (-110)

I know everyone likes the Dolphins right now, but folks need to be careful this team has not looked dominant all season. They have only won one game by more than a touchdown all season. Most of those wins have come by four points or less. The Bears have been playing their best football as of late.

This one is at home in what appears to be another windy day at Soldier Field. Also, people forget that Chicago’s defense is top-five in passing yards allowed. We might not see the same vaunted Miami passing offense that we have for most of this season.

Look for this one to be closer than expected. The Bears moneyline (+165) is worth a look, but we’re going to play it safe and take the points.

Panthers at Bengals: Bengals -7.5 (+100)

We are getting to that point in the season where teams start to settle in and play closer to expectations. The Panthers are not a good football team. They are completely devoid of talent. On the flip side, the Bengals have too much talent to continue to wallow in mediocrity.

The Bengals have won four out of their last six. In those four wins, three have come by double-digits. For that reason, I like Cincinnati to win by eight or more, and I love the value at +100.

Chargers at Falcons: Falcons Moneyline (+130)

I’m not a huge fan of gambling stats, but the fact that the Falcons are 6-2 against the spread this year. Also, they are 3-1 at home this season. Then, you have to factor in that the Chargers have not played great this year, and that they are coming into this game without most of Justin Herbert’s top weapons.

For all of these reasons, I like Atlanta a lot this week. The spread is only three points, so we’re going to take the extra value here and pick them to win outright.

Colts at Patriots: UNDER 40 (-110)

The injury report for this game is a big reason why I like the under here. The Patriots have a ton of injuries on the offensive side of the ball, especially up front. Offensive line injuries are hard to overcome because the league, as a whole, is just generally not very deep at that position. New England only has an average offense when healthy, playing shorthanded against a very good Colts defense is not conducive to scoring a lot of points.

On the other side, Indianapolis didn’t have much of an offense before they thrust a rookie quarterback into the starting lineup, their star running back got hurt, and they traded their third-down back. It is hard to see any way either team breaks 20 this week. Hammer the under.

Raiders at Jaguars: Raiders -2 (-110)

The Raiders got absolutely embarrassed last week in New Orleans. It was the kind of game that has to elicit a visceral response. The Raiders stayed on the East coast this week for the Jacksonville game, so they have had another week to settle into a routine.

The Jags, on the other hand, have to re-acclimate themselves after playing in London last week. Not having the bye after playing overseas is a tough draw. The Raiders are too talented to lose to two bad teams in a row. Take the Raiders to cover. That’s it for the Week 9 NFL bets. Go out there and make some money, and come back next week for the Week 10 piece!