Best NFL Bets For Week 12

Time for even more NFL picks! We had a pretty solid Thanksgiving, going 2-1 on the day. We are now 11-7 for the month of November. Here are five of the best bets for this Sunday’s Week 12 NFL action. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday morning.

The Atlanta Falcons headline our look at the best bets in the NFL for Week 12
Photo Credit: D. Orlando Ledbetter

Falcons at Commanders: Commanders -4 (-110)

All aboard the Taylor Heinicke hype train! Look, he may not be the answer long-term, but he is exactly what Washington needs right now. They have a good defense, they run the ball well, and they have big-time playmakers at wide receiver. They just need a quarterback to not screw it all up. In that respect, Heinickie is an upgrade over Carson Wentz.

Meanwhile, the Falcons are still somehow managing to hang around in playoff contention. Quarterback Marcus Mariota continues to do just enough to keep his job. I think this is where things finally come to a head for Atlanta.

This game with Washington is a matchup of two teams chasing the last Wild Card spot in the NFC. It is one of those games that separates the contenders from the pretenders. I like Washington enough in this one to lay the four points.

Bears at Jets: UNDER 39 (-110)

Given the most recent injury report, we might be seeing Trevor Siemian versus Mike White. Even if Fields plays and White truly is an upgrade over Zach Wilson, I still like the under in this one.

The Jets have only played three games all season that have reached a total of 40 points or more. This doesn’t seem like a matchup that will buck that trend. The Bears offense will have a fair amount of trouble scoring on a stout Jets defense. On the other side, don’t forget that White has more interceptions than passing touchdowns for his career.

Chargers at Cardinals: Cardinals Moneyline (+125)

Here we have another matchup of teams that might be good, but still have a lot to prove. The Cardinals are getting Kyler Murray back this week and the Chargers look about as healthy as they’ve been in quite some time. We should get a real good look at where both teams are as we head into the stretch-run of the season.

In reality, this game is pretty much a coin-toss. However, there are three reasons to pick Arizona. First, they’ve got home-field advantage. Second, the Chargers have a real knack for finding ways to lose games. Finally the Cardinals offer solid value at +125.

Rams at Chiefs: Rams +15.5 (-110)

Given what we have seen over the past month or so, it’s understandable if you want to avoid the Rams. That being said, this is the NFL, and it is hard to cover 15.5 points against anyone. While they haven’t been good lately, the Rams are still the defending Super Bowl champs. This spread feels awfully disrespectful.

It’s worth noting that the Chiefs have only won three games all season by more than 15 points. They aren’t exactly blowing the doors off teams this year. Honestly, at +800, taking the Rams straight up is tempting. We’ll play it safe though and just take the points.

Packers at Eagles: Packers Moneyline (+250)

I might be going out on a limb here, but just bear with me. Doesn’t this game have all the makings of a potential upset? These primetime games can be full of surprises. They can also be the games where one player can just take over.

Speaking of which, the Packers have this guy by the name of Aaron Rodgers. You may have heard of him before. He is pretty good. It helps that he is starting to build a rapport with wide receiver Christian Watson.

A game like this under the bright lights is the perfect opportunity for Rodgers to remind folks that he is still a baaad man. It also doesn’t hurt that the Eagles are currently coming to grips with their own mortality. There is enough value here at +250 to make this upset worth chasing to close out our best bets in the NFL for Week 12.

Best College Football Bets For Week 13 (Part 2)

We are back once again for even more of the best college football bets for Week 13! You got a little bonus action from Friday’s games, now we’re onto the main event. Here are five great bets for Saturday’s college football slate. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Friday morning.

Photo Credit: Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

South Carolina at #8 Clemson: South Carolina +14.5 (-110)

This is a very generous spread. The Gamecocks may be inconsistent, but they have plenty of talent. Don’t forget, this is still a down year for Clemson — at least by their lofty standards. These teams are pretty close this year. While Clemson is still the favorite on paper, 14.5 points feels a bit excessive.

South Carolina is coming off a massive upset of over Tennessee, but don’t expect a letdown here. With the gauntlet of ranked teams that they have faced this year, the Gamecocks are used to having to get up for big games each week. This is also one that has a little extra motivation built in. This is a true rivalry with an origin that is over a century old.

Honestly, it is tempting to take the visitors to win this one straight up. However, we will respect Clemson’s talent and play it safe. Just take the points and call it a day.

Auburn at #7 Alabama: Auburn +22 (-110)

We are going to try this one more time. We are 2-0 this year betting against Alabama. Hopefully we don’t get burned going to this well a third time. That being said, there are several reasons to believe Auburn can cover this spread.

The biggest reason is interim coach Carnell “Cadillac” Williams. He has his alma mater playing its best football of the season, and the Tigers actually look competitive with quality SEC competition. Putting together a respectable showing in the biggest game of the season against a top-ten Alabama team could be enough to earn Williams a permanent gig.

Looking at ‘Bama, the seventh-ranked Crimson Tide are a fugazi top-ten team. They are a deeply flawed team being carried by elite quarterback play. They haven’t been nearly as dominant as normal, and now that they’ve been effectively eliminated from the College Football Payoff, there is far less motivation to blow teams out. This might not be a super tight affair, but expect Auburn to at least stay somewhat in the game.

Wake Forest at Duke: Wake -3.5 (+105)

This is one of those games that could go either way, but the value is hard to overlook. The Demon Deacons are better than their four losses would have you think. On the other hand, the Blue Devils’ boast the same record, but their’s has been a bit inflated by a weak schedule. Duke isn’t necessarily bad, and they could win this one, but they are clear underdogs in this one.

While we are leaning Wake, the question is whether or not they will cover 3.5 points. Of their seven wins this season, only one has come by less than 10 points. It is safe to say that assuming Wake does win, they will most certainly cover. The fact that they are getting +105 odds to do so makes this pick a no-brainer as one of the best college football bets for Week 13 — if not the best.

Michigan State at Penn State: Penn State -19 (-115)

While the battle for the Land Grant Trophy is one of the Big Ten’s bigger rivalries, don’t expect this one to be particularly close. The same logic that we used to pick the Nittany Lions to cover 19 last week against Rutgers applies in this one as well.

Michigan State is very much in the same realm as Rutgers, Maryland, and Indiana, who were all stifled over the past three weeks by PSU’s dominant defense. This game should look pretty similar to those contests. Expect to see more of Drew Allar for Penn State in the second half once again.

Iowa State at TCU: Iowa State +9.5 (-110)

This is another situation where the moneyline is tempting, but we will just play it safe with the points instead. TCU might have the sketchiest resume of any team ever to be ranked in the top-five at this point in the season. They flirt with disaster every week.

The Cyclones could be the team to finally make them pay. While the results haven’t quite gone their way, this team is just as good the rest of those middle-of-the-pack Big 12 squads. Those are the teams the Horned Frogs have struggled to dominate. While Iowa State might not have enough firepower to pull off the upset, expect them to keep it within 10.

Best College Football Bets for Week 13 (Part 1)

Photo Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

College football’s rivalry week is finally here! Despite a tough go of it last week, we are still 9-6 for the month of November, so we’ve got a chance here to finish it out above 60% over four weeks. Since we have two days worth of games this weekend, we have three bonus great bets for this today’s college football Week 13 matchups, with picks for Saturday’s games coming soon. All lines come via Draft Kings as of this morning.

Arkansas at Missouri: Missouri Moneyline (+145)

I love this upset as one of the best bets in college football for Week 13. Mizzou honestly shocked me last week when they covered 29 against New Mexico State. The Tigers are now in a situation where a win would make them bowl eligible. They have a great opportunity to do so against a suspect Arkansas team.

The Razorbacks just clinched bowl eligibility last week with a huge upset over Ole Miss. They are primed for a big letdown game. You have a hungry team at home hosting a squad that is likely hungover from the previous week. Hammer Mizzou this week.

Nebraska at Iowa: UNDER 38.5 (-110)

In the month of November, neither of these teams has played a game with a total of more than 37 points. This is just plain and simple. These are two teams that don’t score much. Even in a rivalry game, I don’t expect a lot of fireworks. Don’t overthink this, just bet on two low-scoring teams to not score much.

#18 UCLA at California: UCLA -11 (110)

After a tough loss to USC last week, and an even tougher loss to Arizona the week before, the Bruins are in desperate need of a “get right” game. Playing an in-state rival who is having a pretty terrible year should fit the bill. UCLA needs to show everyone that they are actually good before bowl selection. Beating up on Cal would be a good way to do that.

Something to remember here is that UCLA coach Chip Kelly has a propensity for running up the score. Most of their wins this season have been by double digits. Cal’s Super Bowl was beating Stanford last week. Expect the Golden Bears to get stomped into the off-season.

Best NFL Bets for Thanksgiving

Time for some bonus NFL betting content! We’ve got three games on the Thanksgiving slate, let’s see if we can build off the momentum from going 3-2 on Sunday. Here are three great bets for the Thanksgiving NFL action. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Wednesday afternoon.

Photo Credit: AP Photo/Adam Hunger

Bills at Lions: Lions +9 (-110)

The Bills finally got back into the win column after a home win in Detroit over the Browns. Now, Buffalo heads back to the Motor City as the visiting team to take on the surging Detroit Lions. You read that right, the Lions come into this game riding a three-game winning streak.

Let’s be clear, that streak is likely to end this week. That being said, it might be somewhat close. The Lions are playing good football right now. The Bills haven’t been their best. Josh Allen doesn’t look completely himself, and that defense is hurting. I think the Lions find themselves down a couple scores, but get a garbage time score to pull within eight. Take the points.

Giants at Cowboys: Giants +10 (-105)

This feels like a gift. I get why the bookies have handicapped it this way, but I don’t agree with it at all. Their rationale is that the Cowboys are playing great, they typically play well on Thanksgiving, and the Giants are slowly coming back down to Earth. It all makes sense, but it’s not enough to lay 10 on the Cowboys.

There are a lot of unknowns in this contest. Divisional games tend to be a little screwy due to the extra familiarity. The same goes for Thursday games in general due to the lack of time to prepare. Another factor is this massive injury report. Who knows who is going to play and what shape they will be in.

Given all these unknowns, let’s focus on the facts. On paper, these teams are not that far apart. It is hard to win by double digits in the NFL. Take the points once again.

Patriots at Vikings: UNDER 42.5 Points (-110)

The Patriots and Vikings are not the matchup we are going to bet here to cap off our NFL Thanksgiving bets. Normally, that would be a no-brainer. However, there is a much bigger matchup to watch: Kirk Cousins versus prime time.

The man just stinks under the bright lights. That being said, he won’t have to be that good to get by New England. For that reason, we’re going with the path of least resistance and betting the total.

This is an easy one. Cousins doesn’t play well in late games and the Patriots have a very good defense. On the other side of the ball, the Vikings are average defensively, and the Patriots offense is in the bottom half of the league in points scored. Expect this game to be a race to 20. Take the under.

Best NFL Bets for Week 11

It’s time to uncover the best bets on this week’s NFL slate for Week 11! Last week, we went 3-2 but hit on the Vikings upsetting the Bills, so it was a solid week. Let’s see if we can go perfect this week. Here are five great bets for this week’s NFL action. All lines come via Draft Kings as of Saturday morning.

The Philadelphia Eagles are the best bet in the NFL to have a bounce-back in Week 11
Photo Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Eagles at Colts: Eagles -6.5 (-115)

The Eagles were the NFL’s last remaining undefeated team before getting upset by the Washington Commanders on Monday Night Football this past week. Immediately after, Eagles general manager Howie Roseman went out and signed two veteran defensive tackles. It is clear that Philadelphia is looking to get back on track right away.

The Colts provide a great opportunity for a “get-right game.” Don’t let last week’s win over the Raiders fool you, this team is a dumpster fire. Expect them to get smoked by the Eagles this week.

Bears at Falcons: Bears Moneyline (+135)

This a matchup of two teams that are both on losing streaks, but appear to be headed in different directions. The Bears have lost their last three games, but have been inching closer to the win column. What has helped is that their offense seems to have turned a corner.

Meanwhile, the Falcons have dropped their last two, but it really looks like the wheels are starting to come off. The college-style offense led by Marcus Mariota that once propelled them to the top of the NFC South has begun to sputter.

The Bears are good enough in the secondary to play man coverage against Atlanta and load the box to stop the run. This could be a signature win for Justin Fields as he looks to cement himself as the Bears’ quarterback of the future.

Jets at Patriots: UNDER 38 (-115)

This is the perfect matchup to bet the under. We’ve got two great defensive coaches in Bill Belichick and Robert Saleh, and they are both going up against inexperienced quarterbacks who are prone to mistakes. When these teams met a few weeks ago, there were a combined four interceptions thrown in a 22-17 slugfest.

In their most recent games, the Jets played the Bills to a total of 37 points, and the Pats played the Colts to a total of 29. These teams just don’t score that much. Both would rather grind it out on the ground than risk their quarterbacks turning it over. Expect this to be something like a 17-16 game. Hammer the under.

Raiders at Broncos: Raiders Moneyline (+125)

Given how bad the Raiders have looked lately, this is probably the worst of our best bets for Week 11 in the NFL. Hear me out though: two or three weeks ago, Las Vegas would have been favored to win this game. People forget, they were favorites in all three games of this current losing streak. Now, they find themselves as underdogs. Every time we flame a team in this league, they come out and prove us wrong.

Also, what on Earth have the Broncos done to be favorited to beat anyone? They beat a bad Jaguars team in a crappy London game. That’s about it. Both of these teams are bad and this game is a toss-up. Denver (-3) is only getting a field goal in this one because they are at home.

Funny enough, that might work in Vegas’ favor with Josh Jacobs on the ground and Daniel Carlson in the kicking game. Take the value (+125) in what should be a coin-flip.

Chiefs at Chargers: OVER 52 (-115)

Who doesn’t love a shootout on Sunday Night Football to close out our look at the best bets in the NFL for Week 11? Primetime game, divisional rivalry, two of the league’s premier quarterbacks, and shoddy defenses, why is over/under set so low?

There are a few reasons. Both teams have a ton of injuries at wide receiver, both defenses have played slightly better as of late, and Justin Herbert is just not himself right now. Nevertheless, the oddsmakers are overreacting a bit here.

It is important to note that Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Gerald Everett were all full participants in Friday’s practice. At least one or two of them should play this week. On the other side, the Chiefs will be without JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman, but Marquez Valdes-Scantling is good to go. As we all know by now, it doesn’t really matter who the Chiefs have at wide receiver as long as they have Patrick Mahomes (and Travis Kelce).

Expect this game to be a race to 30. I’m thinking it will be something like a 31-27 game. Take the over.